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Tropical Storm Lane Forecast Advisory Number 3
2024-11-02 09:40:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 020840 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132024 0900 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 129.5W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 129.5W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 129.2W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 11.0N 130.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 11.0N 131.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 11.1N 133.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 11.2N 134.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 11.2N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 11.3N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N 129.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-02 06:39:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 020539 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Nov 2 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Southwestern Caribbean Sea: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Gradual development of this system is expected over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week while the system moves generally northward to northwestward over the central and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western Caribbean during the next few days, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Near the Greater Antilles: A trough of low pressure extending from near Puerto Rico eastward over the adjacent waters of the Atlantic is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms near and over portions of the Greater Antilles and the Leeward Islands. Slow development is possible during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles. Then, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next few days from the northern Leeward Islands westward across Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas. For more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. North Atlantic (AL96): Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization near a low pressure system centered a few hundred miles west-northwest of the Azores. Environmental conditions could allow for additional development today and tonight, and the system could become a short-lived subtropical or tropical storm while it moves east-southeastward at 10 to 15 mph. Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for further development by late this weekend. Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of this system. For more information, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service and Meteo France. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2 $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-02 06:33:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 020530 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Nov 1 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E, located over the western portion of the eastern Pacific basin. Southwest of Southwestern Mexico: Satellite data indicate a broad area of low pressure has formed well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico, with some recent increase in disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Gradual development of this system is possible through the early to middle part of next week while the system drifts generally eastward to east-northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category: Transportation and Logistics