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Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry Forecast Advisory Number 32
2019-09-25 10:52:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 25 2019 000 WTNT25 KNHC 250852 TCMAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019 0900 UTC WED SEP 25 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 67.9W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 67.9W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 68.4W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.3N 66.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 33.0N 64.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 33.9N 61.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 34.6N 59.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 34.0N 55.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 67.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 25/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Mario Graphics
2019-09-23 16:50:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 23 Sep 2019 14:50:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 23 Sep 2019 14:50:18 GMT
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mario
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Mario Forecast Discussion Number 25
2019-09-23 16:48:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Mon Sep 23 2019 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 231448 TCDEP4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Mario Discussion Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142019 900 AM MDT Mon Sep 23 2019 Mario's quest as a tropical cyclone is over. The low has produced only a few small areas of intermittent convection during the last day or so, but with insufficient organization to be classified as a tropical cyclone. Therefore, Mario is now a remnant low and this is the last advisory. The remnant low will move slowly generally northward or north-northwestward for the next day or so as it slowly spins down. It will likely open up into a trough near the west-central coast of the Baja California peninsula on Tuesday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/1500Z 25.0N 114.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 24/0000Z 26.0N 114.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 24/1200Z 26.9N 114.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Mario (EP4/EP142019)
2019-09-23 16:47:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...GAME OVER... ...MARIO BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... As of 9:00 AM MDT Mon Sep 23 the center of Mario was located near 25.0, -114.3 with movement N at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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mario
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posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone Mario Public Advisory Number 25
2019-09-23 16:47:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Mon Sep 23 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 231447 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Mario Advisory Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142019 900 AM MDT Mon Sep 23 2019 ...GAME OVER... ...MARIO BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.0N 114.3W ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM W OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Mario was located near latitude 25.0 North, longitude 114.3 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). Mario will likely continue to move generally northward at a slightly slower forward speed for the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is anticipated through Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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