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Summary for Tropical Storm Juliette (EP1/EP112019)
2019-09-07 10:33:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...JULIETTE FORECAST TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON SATURDAY... As of 11:00 PM HST Fri Sep 6 the center of Juliette was located near 23.8, -127.1 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm Juliette Public Advisory Number 25
2019-09-07 10:33:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 PM HST Fri Sep 06 2019 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 070833 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Juliette Advisory Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112019 1100 PM HST Fri Sep 06 2019 ...JULIETTE FORECAST TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON SATURDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.8N 127.1W ABOUT 1090 MI...1755 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Juliette was located near latitude 23.8 North, longitude 127.1 West. Juliette is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). This general motion should continue into the middle of next week. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Juliette is expected to become a post-tropical remnant low on Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Storm Juliette Forecast Advisory Number 25
2019-09-07 10:33:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 070833 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112019 0900 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 127.1W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 127.1W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 126.6W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.0N 128.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 24.0N 131.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 24.0N 133.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.9N 135.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.7N 139.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 23.5N 142.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 24.0N 145.0W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 127.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Storm Juliette Graphics
2019-09-07 04:33:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 07 Sep 2019 02:33:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 07 Sep 2019 02:33:07 GMT
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Tropical Storm Juliette Forecast Discussion Number 24
2019-09-07 04:31:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 PM HST Fri Sep 06 2019 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 070231 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Juliette Discussion Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112019 500 PM HST Fri Sep 06 2019 Juliette continues to slowly weaken. Cloud tops have gradually warmed since the last advisory and several recent microwave overpasses show that convection is now limited to the eastern half of the cyclone. The intensity has been lowered to 55 kt based on the latest TAFB Dvorak fix. No substantial changes were made to the NHC track or intensity forecasts. Juliette is located over 23-24 deg C waters, and will remain over fairly cool waters for the next several days. Continued weakening appears inevitable and Juliette is forecast to become a remnant low within 48 h. Although the system will reach marginally warmer waters to the west by the end of the forecast period, it will have weakened enough that significant regeneration is unlikely at that time. The initial motion remains west-northwestward at 11 kt. Juliette should turn westward on Saturday as it weakens further and is steered entirely by low-level easterly flow. All of the models forecast that the tropical storm/remnant low will then continue westward for several days thereafter. The NHC forecast is very close to the East Pacific multi-model consensus TVCE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/0300Z 23.7N 126.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 07/1200Z 24.1N 127.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 08/0000Z 24.2N 129.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 08/1200Z 24.1N 132.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 09/0000Z 24.0N 134.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 10/0000Z 23.9N 138.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 11/0000Z 24.0N 142.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 12/0000Z 24.0N 145.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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