je.st
news
Tag: juliette
Summary for Tropical Storm Juliette (EP1/EP112019)
2019-09-01 16:40:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...JULIETTE STRENGTHENING QUICKLY WELL SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO... As of 9:00 AM MDT Sun Sep 1 the center of Juliette was located near 14.3, -108.8 with movement NW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
tropical storm
Tropical Storm Juliette Public Advisory Number 2
2019-09-01 16:40:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Sun Sep 01 2019 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 011440 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Juliette Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112019 900 AM MDT Sun Sep 01 2019 ...JULIETTE STRENGTHENING QUICKLY WELL SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.3N 108.8W ABOUT 440 MI...710 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 600 MI...965 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Juliette was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 108.8 West. Juliette is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the west- northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected by Monday and this general motion is forecast through Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Juliette is expected to become a hurricane tomorrow and continue to intensify on Tuesday. Weakening could begin on Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm Juliette Forecast Advisory Number 2
2019-09-01 16:40:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 011440 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112019 1500 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 108.8W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 20SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 20SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 108.8W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 108.2W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.3N 110.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.5N 112.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.4N 114.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.1N 115.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.2N 118.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.5N 121.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 22.5N 125.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 108.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm Juliette Graphics
2019-09-01 10:33:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 01 Sep 2019 08:33:40 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 01 Sep 2019 08:33:40 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
juliette
Tropical Storm Juliette Forecast Discussion Number 1
2019-09-01 10:32:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Sun Sep 01 2019 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 010832 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Juliette Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112019 300 AM MDT Sun Sep 01 2019 Earlier scatterometer surface wind data around 0400 UTC indicate that the low pressure system located about 400 nmi south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, had become better defined and that tropical-storm-force winds were occurring in the northern semicircle. More specifically, an ASCAT-A pass revealed peak surface winds of 42 kt, which could have been slightly rain inflated, and an ASCAT-C pass showed peak winds of 39 kt. Based on a blend of these wind data, the low has been upgraded to a 40-kt tropical storm, the tenth tropical storm of the 2019 eastern North Pacific hurricane season. Juliette's initial motion estimate is an uncertain 310/06 kt. The advisory position is an average of the locations of the mid- and low-level circulation centers, in anticipation of the low-level center noted in the ASCAT-C wind data developing closer to the recent bursts of central deep convection. Otherwise, the track forecast is pretty straight-forward with the NHC model guidance in good agreement on maintaining the deep-layer ridge to the north of Juliette throughout the forecast period. This steering pattern should result in the cyclone moving slowly northwestward today, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest with an increase in forward speed on Monday, with a west-northwestward motion continuing through 120 hours. The NHC forecast track lies close to the tightly packed consensus models HCCA and TVCE. Juliette is expected to remain within a favorable environment for intensification to occur over the next 48-72 hours or so, which is characterized by low vertical wind shear of less than 10 kt, a moist mid-level environment, and sea-surface temperatures (SST) of 28-29 deg C. Therefore, the official intensity forecast calls for steady strengthening, with Juliette expected to become a hurricane on Monday. By 96 hours, the cyclone will be moving over SSTs around 26 deg C and cooler, which should induce gradual weakening. The NHC intensity forecast is above the consensus intensity models HCCA and IVCN, and is close to a blend of the statistical SHIPS intensity models and the dynamical HWRF model. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/0900Z 13.2N 107.6W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 01/1800Z 14.5N 109.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 02/0600Z 15.7N 111.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 02/1800Z 16.7N 113.5W 65 KT 75 MPH 48H 03/0600Z 17.6N 115.2W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 04/0600Z 18.9N 118.0W 75 KT 85 MPH 96H 05/0600Z 20.0N 121.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 120H 06/0600Z 21.8N 124.8W 55 KT 65 MPH $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Sites : [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] next »