je.st
news
Tag: linda
Tropical Storm LINDA Graphics
2015-09-06 17:26:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 06 Sep 2015 14:36:54 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 06 Sep 2015 15:10:12 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
linda
tropical
Tropical Storm LINDA Forecast Discussion Number 3
2015-09-06 16:36:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT SUN SEP 06 2015 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 061436 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 900 AM MDT SUN SEP 06 2015 Satellite images indicate that deep convection associated with the depression has been increasing during the last several hours and banding features are becoming better established on the west side of the circulation. The Dvorak classifications have increased to 3.0/45 kt from TAFB and 2.5/35 kt from SAB. The latest ADT value from CIMSS at the University of Wisconsin is 2.9/43 kt. Based on these data, the initial intensity is increased to 40 kt, making the system Tropical Storm Linda. Recent microwave images indicate that the center of Linda is located on the northeast side of the main area of convection due to northeasterly shear. This shear, however, is not expected to be strong enough to prevent strengthening while Linda remains embedded in a moist air mass and over 28-29 degree C waters during the next couple of days. After 48 hours, the atmosphere is expected to be drier and more stable near Linda and water temperatures lower along the forecast track. These conditions should halt intensification and result in a gradual weakening of the cyclone. The NHC intensity forecast is higher than the previous one and a little above the intensity model consensus, favoring the solutions of the SHIPS and LGEM models. Linda is moving northwestward at about 10 kt, steered by a mid-level high pressure system centered over northern Mexico and the southern United States. The ridge is expected to more or less remain in place during the next couple of days, which should keep Linda on the same general course. After that time, a slowdown is predicted as the ridge weakens some. The NHC track forecast has again been shifted a little to the north and is faster than the previous one, trending toward the latest guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/1500Z 14.1N 109.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 07/0000Z 15.5N 110.2W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 07/1200Z 17.3N 111.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 36H 08/0000Z 19.0N 113.6W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 08/1200Z 20.3N 114.9W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 09/1200Z 22.2N 116.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 10/1200Z 23.9N 119.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 11/1200Z 25.0N 122.3W 40 KT 45 MPH $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
discussion
storm
linda
Tropical Storm LINDA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2015-09-06 16:35:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 061435 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM LINDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 1500 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 26(27) 11(38) 2(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ISLA CLARION 34 X 6( 6) 39(45) 10(55) 2(57) 1(58) X(58) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 12(12) 8(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Summary for Tropical Storm LINDA (EP5/EP152015)
2015-09-06 16:34:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA... As of 9:00 AM MDT Sun Sep 6 the center of LINDA was located near 14.1, -109.0 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
linda
tropical
Tropical Storm LINDA Public Advisory Number 3
2015-09-06 16:34:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT SUN SEP 06 2015 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 061434 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 900 AM MDT SUN SEP 06 2015 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.1N 109.0W ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Linda was located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 109.0 West. Linda is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Linda could become a hurricane in a day or two. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
public
storm
linda
Sites : [93] [94] [95] [96] [97] [98] [99] [100] [101] [102] [103] [104] [105] [106] [107] [108] [109] [110] next »