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Summary for Hurricane LINDA (EP5/EP152015)
2015-09-08 10:45:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...LINDA MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 3:00 AM MDT Tue Sep 8 the center of LINDA was located near 19.8, -113.1 with movement NNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 975 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
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Hurricane LINDA Public Advisory Number 10
2015-09-08 10:45:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT TUE SEP 08 2015 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 080845 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 300 AM MDT TUE SEP 08 2015 ...LINDA MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.8N 113.1W ABOUT 295 MI...480 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Linda was located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 113.1 West. Linda is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A motion toward the northwest or north-northwest is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through this morning. Steady weakening is forecast to begin by tonight, and continue during the 48 hours. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Linda are affecting the coast of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula. These swells are expected to spread northward during the next couple of days and are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Hurricane LINDA Graphics
2015-09-08 04:57:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 08 Sep 2015 02:57:52 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 08 Sep 2015 02:56:32 GMT
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Hurricane LINDA Forecast Discussion Number 9
2015-09-08 04:57:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT MON SEP 07 2015 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 080256 TCDEP5 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 900 PM MDT MON SEP 07 2015 Linda's cloud pattern has become less organized since earlier today. A 0116 UTC SSMIS pass showed the low-level center on the northeastern tip of the deepest convection, to the northeast of previous estimates. The distribution of convection in the cyclone's central dense overcast has also become somewhat asymmetric. The current structural organization of the cyclone suggests that moderate northeasterly shear over the cyclone has been a factor in the system's evolution today. The initial intensity estimate is lowered to 80 kt, on the lower end of a blend of Dvorak Final T- and CI-numbers from TAFB and SAB. Although most large-scale factors could favor some additional intensification, the current arrested development is likely to continue as Linda continues to feel the effect of northeasterly shear associated with an upper-level anticyclone to its northeast. Within 24 to 36 hours, Linda will be traversing marginally cool waters and ingesting drier and more stable air, which should result in slow but steady weakening. The rate of weakening should become rapid in 2 to 3 days once Linda reaches even colder waters and thermodynamic factors become increasingly more hostile. Remnant low status is now predicted in 3 days. The new NHC forecast is lowered relative to the previous one and generally lies near the multi-model consensus. Linda has been moving northwestward or 325/09 throughout the day. The cyclone is moving in a deep-layer southeasterly flow on the southwestern periphery of a subtropical ridge located over northern Mexico. The ridge is forecast to weaken during the next couple of days, which should result in a decrease in Linda's forward speed while it maintains about the same heading. The low-level trades should begin to steer the cyclone west-northwestward in 2 to 3 days, and then westward after that time as Linda weakens and becomes an increasingly shallower cyclone. The NHC track forecast has been adjusted to the right of the previous one, based on a re-positioning of the center based on recent microwave fixes. Although Linda is forecast to remain well offshore of the Baja California peninsula, large swells are expected to affect portions of the west coast of that peninsula during the next few days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0300Z 18.8N 112.8W 80 KT 90 MPH 12H 08/1200Z 20.4N 113.9W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 09/0000Z 21.8N 115.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 36H 09/1200Z 23.1N 116.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 48H 10/0000Z 24.4N 117.2W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 11/0000Z 25.9N 119.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 12/0000Z 26.3N 121.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 13/0000Z 26.3N 124.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Kimberlain
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Summary for Hurricane LINDA (EP5/EP152015)
2015-09-08 04:52:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...LINDA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN SOCORRO AND CLARION ISLANDS OF MEXICO... As of 9:00 PM MDT Mon Sep 7 the center of LINDA was located near 18.8, -112.8 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 975 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
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