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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-11 01:15:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 102315 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Oct 10 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system located about 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula remain disorganized, and recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the low's circulation is starting to become elongated. Due to surrounding dry air and increasing upper-level winds, environmental conditions are becoming less conducive for development of this low while it moves westward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico are associated with the remnants of Norbert. This system is forecast to move very little during the next couple of days, and little to no development is expected during that time. Some development appears possible by the middle of next week when the system begins to move toward the northwest at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
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pacific
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-10 19:45:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101744 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 10 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have changed little since early this morning in association with a small low pressure system located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. In addition, satellite data suggests that the low is not as well-defined as it was yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for development as the low is expected to encounter dry air while moving toward the west or west-southwest at 10 to 15 mph over the next day or so. Thereafter, strong upper-level winds will likely inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico are associated with the remnants of Norbert. Little to no development of this disturbance is expected over the next couple of days due to unfavorable environmental conditions. However, by the middle of next week the disturbance is expected to begin moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph into an area where conditions are expected to become more favorable for some development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-10 13:47:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101147 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Oct 10 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Tropical Depression Norbert, which has dissipated several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in association with a small low pressure system located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. However, environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for development as the low is expected to encounter dry air while moving toward the west or west-southwest at 10 to 15 mph over the next day or so. Thereafter, strong upper-level winds will likely inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-10 07:15:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 100515 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Oct 9 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Norbert, located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Dry air continues to limit shower and thunderstorm activity in association with a small low pressure system located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for development during the next day or so as the low moves toward the west or west-southwest at 10 to 15 mph. Thereafter, strong upper-level winds will likely inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-10 01:14:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 092314 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Oct 9 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Norbert, located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. A small, well-defined low pressure system located more than 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity due to nearby dry air. Because of this dry air, environmental conditions are expected to only be somewhat conducive for development while the low moves toward the west or west-southwest at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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