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Potential Tropical Cyclone Six Forecast Advisory Number 4
2021-08-10 16:49:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021 000 WTNT21 KNHC 101449 TCMAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021 1500 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING CULEBRA AND VIEQUES * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE SOUTH COAST FROM PUNTA PALENQUE EASTWARD AND ON THE NORTH COAST FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO EASTWARD A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE NORTH COAST FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC/HAITI BORDER * HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HAITI AND THE BAHAMAS...AS WELL AS IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 63.8W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 63.8W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 63.1W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.3N 66.1W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 18.5N 68.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 19.6N 71.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 20.7N 73.9W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 21.7N 76.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 22.7N 78.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 25.0N 82.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 27.5N 84.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 63.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 10/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm Kevin Public Advisory Number 13
2021-08-10 16:39:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Tue Aug 10 2021 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 101439 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kevin Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112021 900 AM MDT Tue Aug 10 2021 ...KEVIN EXPECTED TO REACH COOLER WATERS TOMORROW... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 114.3W ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kevin was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 114.3 West. Kevin is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A northwestward or west-northwestward motion is expected over the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast through tonight. Gradual weakening is expected to begin on Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Kevin are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico, and will spread northward along the coast of Baja California Sur today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Storm Kevin Forecast Advisory Number 13
2021-08-10 16:39:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 101439 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112021 1500 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 114.3W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 90SE 150SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 120SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 114.3W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 114.0W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.9N 115.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 90SE 150SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.0N 116.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 80SE 100SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.1N 118.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 23.1N 120.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 24.1N 122.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.2N 125.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 27.2N 128.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 28.7N 131.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 114.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Tropical Depression Twelve-E Public Advisory Number 2
2021-08-10 16:38:41| Tropical Depression LIDIA
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION PARALLELING THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... Location: 13.4°N 101.5°W Max sustained: 35 mph Moving: WNW at 10 mph Min pressure: 1008 mb Issued at 1000 AM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021
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Tropical Depression Twelve-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
2021-08-10 16:38:41| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021
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