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Hurricane Felicia Forecast Advisory Number 18
2021-07-18 16:33:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUL 18 2021 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 181432 TCMEP1 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062021 1500 UTC SUN JUL 18 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 128.1W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 128.1W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 127.6W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.1N 129.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.3N 131.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.4N 133.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.2N 136.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.8N 139.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.2N 141.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 14.2N 146.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 13.5N 152.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 128.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Hurricane Felicia Public Advisory Number 17
2021-07-18 10:39:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 PM HST Sat Jul 17 2021 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 180839 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Felicia Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062021 1100 PM HST Sat Jul 17 2021 ...FELICIA REMAINS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.5N 127.1W ABOUT 1230 MI...1980 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...949 MB...28.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Felicia was located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 127.1 West. Felicia is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A westward motion is expected to begin later today or tonight, followed by a turn to the west-southwest on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher gusts. Felicia is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Slight weakening is forecast today, followed by a faster rate of weakening on Monday and Tuesday. Felicia is a very small hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 949 mb (28.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch
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Hurricane Felicia Forecast Advisory Number 17
2021-07-18 10:38:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 18 2021 034 WTPZ21 KNHC 180838 TCMEP1 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062021 0900 UTC SUN JUL 18 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 127.1W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 75SE 75SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 127.1W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 126.6W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.8N 128.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.1N 130.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.3N 132.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.2N 134.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 5SE 5SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.9N 137.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.3N 140.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 14.3N 145.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 13.5N 151.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 127.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/PASCH
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Tropical Storm Guillermo Public Advisory Number 4
2021-07-18 10:34:28| Tropical Depression LIDIA
...GUILLERMO STRENGTHENS... Location: 17.6°N 111.6°W Max sustained: 50 mph Moving: WNW at 12 mph Min pressure: 1000 mb Issued at 300 AM MDT Sun Jul 18 2021
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Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast Advisory Number 4
2021-07-18 10:34:28| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 18 2021
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