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Hurricane Felicia Public Advisory Number 15
2021-07-17 22:31:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 AM HST Sat Jul 17 2021 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 172031 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Felicia Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062021 1100 AM HST Sat Jul 17 2021 ...CATEGORY FOUR FELICIA MAINTAINING STRENGTH AND NOW MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.9N 125.3W ABOUT 1145 MI...1845 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Felicia was located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 125.3 West. Felicia is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through early Sunday. A turn toward the west is anticipated by late Sunday, followed by another turn toward the west-southwest early next week. Maximum sustained winds remain near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher gusts. Felicia is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in intensity are possible today, and slight weakening is forecast by the end of the weekend. A faster rate of weakening is expected by early next week. Felicia is a very small hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 947 mb (27.97 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Hurricane Felicia Forecast Advisory Number 15
2021-07-17 22:31:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 17 2021 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 172031 TCMEP1 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062021 2100 UTC SAT JUL 17 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 125.3W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 125.3W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 124.9W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.3N 126.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.8N 128.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.1N 130.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.1N 132.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.0N 134.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.6N 137.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 14.7N 142.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 14.0N 148.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 125.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Hurricane Felicia Public Advisory Number 14
2021-07-17 16:41:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 AM HST Sat Jul 17 2021 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 171441 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Felicia Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062021 500 AM HST Sat Jul 17 2021 ...TINY BUT FEROCIOUS FELICIA CONTINUES ITS WESTWARD TREK... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.6N 124.6W ABOUT 1120 MI...1800 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Felicia was located near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 124.6 West. Felicia is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue today. A slight turn toward the west-northwest is expected tonight and Sunday, followed by a turn back toward the west late Sunday and Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher gusts. Felicia is a strong category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in intensity are possible today, and slight weakening is forecast by the end of the weekend. A faster rate of weakening is expected by early next week. Felicia is a small hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 947 mb (27.97 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Hurricane Felicia Forecast Advisory Number 14
2021-07-17 16:40:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUL 17 2021 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 171440 TCMEP1 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062021 1500 UTC SAT JUL 17 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 124.6W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 124.6W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 124.2W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.8N 125.8W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.2N 127.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.7N 129.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.0N 131.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.0N 133.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.7N 136.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 15.0N 141.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 14.0N 147.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 124.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Depression Seven-E Public Advisory Number 1
2021-07-17 16:39:13| Tropical Depression LIDIA
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS FORMS WELL OFFSHORE THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... Location: 16.8°N 109.2°W Max sustained: 35 mph Moving: WNW at 17 mph Min pressure: 1007 mb Issued at 900 AM MDT Sat Jul 17 2021
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