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Hurricane Felicia Public Advisory Number 10
2021-07-16 16:32:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Fri Jul 16 2021 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 161432 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Felicia Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062021 800 AM PDT Fri Jul 16 2021 ...FELICIA CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN... ...NOW A STRONG CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.0N 121.6W ABOUT 940 MI...1510 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Felicia was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 121.6 West. Felicia is moving toward the west-southwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the west is forecast to occur by late tonight or early Saturday, with a westward motion expected to continue through the weekend and into early next week. Maximum sustained winds have near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Felicia is a strong category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is possible today, and Felicia could become a category 4 hurricane later this morning. Slow weakening is expected to begin by tonight, and continue through the weekend and into early next week. Felicia remains a small tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 962 mb (28.41 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Hurricane Felicia Public Advisory Number 9
2021-07-16 10:47:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Fri Jul 16 2021 764 WTPZ31 KNHC 160847 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Felicia Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062021 200 AM PDT Fri Jul 16 2021 ...FELICIA BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE... ...FURTHER STRENGTHENING FORECASTED... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 121.0W ABOUT 900 MI...1450 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Felicia was located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 121.0 West. Felicia is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h). A general west-southwest motion is expected over the next 24 hours with a turn back to the west expected over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Felicia is now category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale and additional strengthening is forecast today. This will be followed by a very gradual weakening trend through the end of the weekend. Felicia is a small tropical cyclone, with hurricane-force winds extending outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Papin/Beven
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Hurricane Felicia Public Advisory Number 8
2021-07-16 04:50:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Thu Jul 15 2021 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 160250 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Felicia Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062021 800 PM PDT Thu Jul 15 2021 ...FELICIA CONTINUES RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE OVERNIGHT... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 120.2W ABOUT 855 MI...1380 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Felicia was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 120.2 West. Felicia is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h). A gradual turn to the west-southwest is expected by Friday, and a westward motion is forecast this weekend. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected tonight, and Felicia is forecast to become a major hurricane overnight. Some slow weakening is possible by this weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Blake
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Hurricane Felicia Forecast Advisory Number 8
2021-07-16 04:49:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUL 16 2021 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 160249 TCMEP1 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062021 0300 UTC FRI JUL 16 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 120.2W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 75SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 120.2W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 119.8W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.1N 121.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.9N 122.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.7N 124.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.7N 126.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.9N 127.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.0N 129.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 14.9N 133.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 14.5N 137.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 120.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BLAKE
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Hurricane Felicia Public Advisory Number 7
2021-07-15 22:34:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Thu Jul 15 2021 903 WTPZ31 KNHC 152034 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Felicia Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062021 200 PM PDT Thu Jul 15 2021 ...FELICIA STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 119.4W ABOUT 815 MI...1315 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Felicia was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 119.4 West. Felicia is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). A gradual turn to the west-southwest is expected by Friday with a westward motion expected this weekend. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected through tonight. Some slow weakening is possible by this weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Latto
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