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Tropical Depression Peter Forecast Advisory Number 14
2021-09-22 04:42:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 22 2021 000 WTNT21 KNHC 220242 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PETER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162021 0300 UTC WED SEP 22 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 65.3W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 65.3W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 65.1W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.6N 66.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.6N 66.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 23.6N 66.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 24.6N 66.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 25.7N 65.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 65.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
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Tropical Depression Rose Public Advisory Number 12
2021-09-22 04:38:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 220238 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Rose Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021 1100 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 ...ROSE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 37.9W ABOUT 1020 MI...1645 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Rose was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 37.9 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion should continue through Wednesday. A turn toward the north is expected on Thursday, followed by a northeastward motion by Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little overall change in intensity is expected during the next couple of days, however Rose is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low on Friday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Depression Rose Forecast Advisory Number 12
2021-09-22 04:38:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 22 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 220238 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021 0300 UTC WED SEP 22 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 37.9W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 37.9W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 37.7W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.9N 38.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N 40.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.3N 41.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.6N 41.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.9N 40.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.7N 37.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 31.3N 32.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 37.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Depression Peter Public Advisory Number 13
2021-09-21 22:46:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 000 WTNT31 KNHC 212046 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Peter Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162021 500 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 ...PETER NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.5N 65.0W ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Peter was located near latitude 20.5 North, longitude 65.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn to the north with a decrease in forward speed is expected beginning tomorrow. On the forecast track, the center of Peter will remain well north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico tonight and should move well east of the southeastern Bahamas during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional gradual weakening is forecast over the next several days, and Peter could degenerate into a remnant low by Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall around the southern periphery of Tropical Depression Peter could produce additional rainfall totals of 1 to 4 inches, with storm total accumulations up to 6 inches, across portions of the Northern Leeward Islands, including portions of the Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico and the northern portions of Hispaniola through Thursday morning. This rainfall may lead to areas of urban and small stream flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Peter are affecting the northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico, and will continue spreading westward to Hispaniola this evening and the Bahamas on Wednesday. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin
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Tropical Depression Peter Forecast Advisory Number 13
2021-09-21 22:43:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 000 WTNT21 KNHC 212043 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PETER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162021 2100 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 65.0W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 65.0W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 64.8W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.3N 66.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.3N 67.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 23.2N 67.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 24.2N 66.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 25.3N 66.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 26.7N 65.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 28.7N 63.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 65.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
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