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Tropical Depression CINDY Graphics

2017-06-22 16:38:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 22 Jun 2017 14:38:52 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 22 Jun 2017 15:22:57 GMT

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Tropical Depression CINDY Forecast Discussion Number 12

2017-06-22 16:35:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017 000 WTNT43 KNHC 221435 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Cindy Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017 1000 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017 The circulation of Cindy is already well inland and weakening. The initial intensity has been lowered to 30 kt, although some areas could still observe tropical-storm-force winds in gusts associated with heavy squalls. Additional weakening is forecast, and Cindy will degenerate into a remnant low tomorrow. Thereafter, the cyclone should become absorbed into a frontal zone over the eastern United States. Cindy is moving toward the north or 010 degrees at 11 knots. The cyclone should gradually turn toward the northeast and east-northeast as it becomes embedded within the prevailing mid-level westerly flow over the next couple of days. Although Cindy is a tropical depression, it will continue to produce heavy rainfall over portions of the northern Gulf Coast and the southeastern and eastern United States, along with the potential for life-threatening flash flooding in some locations. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 4 PM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT3, WMO header WTNT33 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/1500Z 31.0N 93.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 12H 23/0000Z 32.8N 93.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 23/1200Z 35.0N 90.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 24/0000Z 37.0N 86.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila

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Summary for Tropical Depression CINDY (AT3/AL032017)

2017-06-22 16:34:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...CINDY WEAKENS BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... As of 10:00 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 the center of CINDY was located near 31.0, -93.5 with movement N at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression CINDY Public Advisory Number 12

2017-06-22 16:34:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017 000 WTNT33 KNHC 221434 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Cindy Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017 1000 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017 ...CINDY WEAKENS BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.0N 93.5W ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM NW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning from High Island Texas to Morgan City Louisiana has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches of warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Cindy was located near latitude 31.0 North, longitude 93.5 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a turn toward the north-northeast is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the northeast on Friday. On the forecast track, Cindy or its remnants will move into southeastern Arkansas early Friday, and into Tennessee later on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast and the depression is expected to become a remnant low by Friday if not sooner. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Cindy is expected to produce rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with isolated maximum amounts up to 8 inches over extreme eastern Texas, Louisiana, and southern and eastern Arkansas through Friday morning. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches over southern Mississippi, southern and central Alabama, and extreme western Florida Panhandle are expected through Friday morning. This may bring storm total rainfall in excess of 15 inches in some isolated locations. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding in these areas. Heavy rainfall will expand across the Tennessee and Ohio valleys today and across the central Appalachians Friday into Saturday. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches are expected through Friday morning. WIND: Gusts of tropical storm force in a few squalls are still possible mainly to the east of the depression. STORM SURGE: Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is still possible along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast in areas of strong onshore winds. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible through tonight from the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valley regions to the central Gulf Coast. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 4 PM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT3, WMO header WTNT33 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov. $$ Forecaster Avila

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