je.st
news
Tag: cindy
Tropical Storm Cindy Graphics
2017-06-21 22:38:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 21 Jun 2017 20:38:51 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 21 Jun 2017 20:38:52 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
cindy
Tropical Storm Cindy Forecast Discussion Number 9
2017-06-21 22:34:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017 000 WTNT43 KNHC 212034 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Cindy Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017 400 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017 Cindy continues to have the overall appearance of a subtropical cyclone this afternoon. However, the convective area just northwest of the center has become somewhat better organized based on coastal radar data, and the wind field has become smaller and more like a tropical cyclone. Surface observations and reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft show that the maximum winds remain near 45 kt, mainly in the northwestern quadrant. The initial motion is 315/8. There is again little change in either the track forecast philosophy or the track forecast from the previous advisory. Cindy is expected to turn northward and move through a break in the mid-level subtropical ridge along the northwest Gulf of Mexico coast, with landfall in southeastern Texas or southwestern Louisiana in less than 24 hours. After 24-36 hours Cindy, or its remnants, should accelerate northeastward in the westerlies over the eastern United States. Given the continued presence of dry air near the center, as shown by experimental GOES-16 data, and its generally negative effects on the central convection, little change in strength is expected before landfall. Cindy should weaken after landfall and eventually become absorbed by a frontal system over the eastern United States just after 72 h. While the aforementioned dry air is sufficient to keep Cindy from intensifying, it will do little to reduce the overall rainfall threat. Heavy rainfall is expected to continue over portions of the central and eastern Gulf Coast, which could cause life-threatening flash flooding in some locations. For more information on the flooding hazard, see products from your local National Weather Service office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/2100Z 28.2N 93.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 22/0600Z 29.3N 93.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 22/1800Z 31.3N 93.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 36H 23/0600Z 33.4N 92.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 48H 23/1800Z 35.3N 88.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND 72H 24/1800Z 38.5N 76.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm Cindy (AT3/AL032017)
2017-06-21 22:34:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HEAVY RAINFALL FROM CINDY AFFECTING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING... As of 4:00 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 the center of Cindy was located near 28.2, -93.2 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 994 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
cindy
Tropical Storm Cindy Public Advisory Number 9
2017-06-21 22:34:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017 000 WTNT33 KNHC 212034 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Cindy Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017 400 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017 ...HEAVY RAINFALL FROM CINDY AFFECTING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.2N 93.2W ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM S OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF GALVESTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * San Luis Pass Texas to the mouth of the Mississippi River A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. Interests elsewhere along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was located near latitude 28.2 North, longitude 93.2 West. Cindy is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest is expected tonight and Thursday, with a turn toward the northeast expected on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Cindy will move inland over southeastern Texas or southwestern Louisiana late tonight or early Thursday, then move near or over extreme eastern Texas, western and northern Louisiana, and southeastern Arkansas Thursday and Thursday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before landfall, with weakening expected thereafter. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on observations from oil rigs near the center is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Cindy is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 9 inches with isolated maximum amounts up to 15 inches over southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and western portions of the Florida Panhandle through Thursday night. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding in these areas. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 7 inches can be expected farther west across western Louisiana and eastern Texas through Thursday night. Rainfall should spread northeastward across Arkansas and into portions of the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys through Friday, with total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts possible. WIND: Tropical storm conditions should spread westward and northward through the Tropical Storm Warning area this afternoon through Thursday. STORM SURGE: Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is expected along the coast in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area. Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is also possible elsewhere along the coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle in areas of strong onshore winds. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible into tonight from the far western Florida Panhandle across southwestern Alabama, southern Mississippi, and southern Louisiana. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm Cindy Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2017-06-21 22:34:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUN 21 2017 000 FONT13 KNHC 212034 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM CINDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032017 2100 UTC WED JUN 21 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GULFPORT MS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) STENNIS MS 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURAS LA 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) JACKSON MS 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 910W 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BATON ROUGE LA 34 9 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MORGAN CITY LA 34 13 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 10 19(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) LAFAYETTE LA 34 27 4(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) NEW IBERIA LA 34 27 3(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) GFMX 280N 930W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SHREVEPORT LA 34 2 13(15) 6(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) FORT POLK LA 34 21 35(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) FORT POLK LA 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LAKE CHARLES 34 65 15(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) LAKE CHARLES 50 2 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CAMERON LA 34 88 4(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) CAMERON LA 50 8 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) CAMERON LA 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) JASPER TX 34 24 33(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) JASPER TX 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KOUNTZE TX 34 45 20(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) KOUNTZE TX 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 78 6(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GALVESTON TX 34 41 X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) HOUSTON TX 34 13 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) FREEPORT TX 34 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GFMX 280N 950W 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 73 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MATAGORDA TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] next »