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Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Advisory Number 4
2020-05-17 16:44:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN MAY 17 2020 343 WTNT21 KNHC 171444 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012020 1500 UTC SUN MAY 17 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SURF CITY TO DUCK NC * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 77.4W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 105NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 77.4W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 77.4W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.0N 76.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 34.3N 75.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 36.4N 73.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 37.3N 70.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 37.1N 68.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 70SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 36.5N 66.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 90SE 70SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 35.5N 64.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 77.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 17/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Storm Arthur Graphics
2020-05-17 13:54:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 17 May 2020 11:54:35 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 17 May 2020 09:24:53 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Arthur (AT1/AL012020)
2020-05-17 13:53:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ARTHUR MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD... As of 8:00 AM EDT Sun May 17 the center of Arthur was located near 30.3, -77.4 with movement NNE at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Arthur Public Advisory Number 3A
2020-05-17 13:53:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM EDT Sun May 17 2020 000 WTNT31 KNHC 171153 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Arthur Intermediate Advisory Number 3A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012020 800 AM EDT Sun May 17 2020 ...ARTHUR MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.3N 77.4W ABOUT 355 MI...575 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Surf City to Duck NC * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 to 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Arthur was located near latitude 30.3 North, longitude 77.4 West. Arthur is moving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next 24 to 48 hours. On the forecast track, Arthur will remain well offshore the east coast of Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina today, and then move near or just east of the coast of North Carolina on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Arthur is likely to lose its tropical characteristics on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area on Monday. RAINFALL: Arthur is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over coastal North Carolina tonight and Monday, with locally higher amounts. SURF: Swells generated by Arthur are affecting portions of the southeast U.S. coast and are expected to spread northward along the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast during the next day or two. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions across much of the U.S. southeast and mid-Atlantic coasts. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown / Blake
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Tropical Storm Arthur Graphics
2020-05-17 10:52:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 17 May 2020 08:52:59 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 17 May 2020 08:52:59 GMT
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