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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-20 07:40:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

683 ABNT20 KNHC 200540 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Sep 20 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A westward-moving tropical wave is producing a small but concentrated area of thunderstorms about 850 miles east of the Windward Islands. Some additional development is possible today before upper-level winds become increasingly unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation starting tonight and continuing through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system is forecast to develop by Friday night over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Azores. Conditions are expected to be conducive for the low to acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone could form over the weekend or early next week while the low meanders over the central Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-20 01:49:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

196 ABNT20 KNHC 192349 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Sep 19 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A westward-moving tropical wave is producing a small but concentrated area of thunderstorms about 900 miles east of the Windward Islands. Some slow development of this disturbance will be possible through early Friday before environmental conditions become quite unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation by late Friday and continuing through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system is forecast to develop this weekend over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Azores. After that time, conditions are expected to become favorable for the formation of a subtropical or tropical cyclone while the low meanders over the central Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-19 19:21:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

723 ABNT20 KNHC 191721 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Sep 19 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of the Windward Islands has decreased some this morning. Further development is becoming less likely since the environment is becoming unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A non-tropical low is forecast to form this weekend between Bermuda and the Azores. After that time, conditions are expected to be favorable for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation while the low meanders over the north Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-19 13:24:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

169 ABNT20 KNHC 191123 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Sep 19 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of disturbed weather located a little more than 1000 miles east of the Windward Islands is associated with a tropical wave moving westward about 10 to 15 mph. Some slight development is possible during the next day or two before the environment becomes unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A non-tropical low is forecast to form this weekend between Bermuda and the Azores. After that time, conditions are expected to be favorable for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation while the low meanders over the north Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-19 07:18:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

850 ABNT20 KNHC 190518 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Sep 19 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the final advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Joyce, located several hundred miles south of the Azores. A tropical wave is producing a large area of disturbed weather more than 1200 miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for some slow development of this system through Friday while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Over the weekend, however, upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation to occur. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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