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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-11 13:32:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
793 ABNT20 KNHC 111131 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the west-central Atlantic Ocean, on Hurricane Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic, and on Tropical Storm Isaac, located over the central tropical Atlantic. A large area of disturbed weather over the extreme northwestern Caribbean Sea and the southeastern Gulf of Mexico is a associated with a surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. Although this activity is showing signs of organization, there are no signs of a surface circulation. Limited development is anticipated today, but upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive, and a tropical depression could form on Thursday or Friday while the disturbance moves across the western Gulf of Mexico. Interests across northeastern Mexico and the coasts of Texas and Louisiana should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely over western Cuba and portions of the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form along a trough of low pressure located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. Environmental conditions are conducive for some development, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form by the end of the week while the low meanders over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
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atlantic
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tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-11 07:13:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
509 ABNT20 KNHC 110513 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the west-central Atlantic Ocean, on Hurricane Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic, and on recently downgraded Tropical Storm Isaac, located over the central tropical Atlantic. Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, however, there are still no signs of a surface circulation. This system is forecast to move slowly northwestward across the Yucatan Peninsula today with limited development. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for development later in the week, and a tropical depression could form on Thursday or Friday while the disturbance moves across the western Gulf of Mexico. Interests across northeastern Mexico and the coast of Texas and Louisiana should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely over western Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form along a trough of low pressure located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. Environmental conditions are conducive for some development, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form by the end of the week while the low meanders over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-11 01:29:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
121 ABNT20 KNHC 102329 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the west-central Atlantic Ocean, on Hurricane Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic, and on Hurricane Isaac, located over the central tropical Atlantic. Showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, western Cuba, and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico are associated with a surface trough and are showing some signs of organization. This system is forecast to move slowly northwestward across the Yucatan Peninsula on Tuesday with limited development. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for development later in the week, and a tropical depression could form on Thursday or Friday while the disturbance moves across the western Gulf of Mexico. Interests across northeastern Mexico and the coast of Texas and Louisiana should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely over western Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula through Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form in the northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west-southwest of the Azores in a day or two. Environmental conditions are conducive for some development, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form by the end of the week while the low moves erratically over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-10 19:45:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
504 ABNT20 KNHC 101745 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the west-central Atlantic Ocean, on Hurricane Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic, and on Hurricane Isaac, located over the central tropical Atlantic. Showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and western Cuba, associated with a surface trough, are showing some signs of organization. This system is forecast to move slowly northwestward near the Yucatan Peninsula on Tuesday with limited development. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for development on Wednesday when the system moves over the southern Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical depression could form on Thursday or Friday while the disturbance moves across the western Gulf of Mexico. Interests across northeastern Mexico and the coast of Texas and Louisiana should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely over western Cuba through Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form in the northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west-southwest of the Azores in about two days. Environmental conditions are conducive for some development, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form by the end of the week while the low moves erratically over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-10 13:27:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
239 ABNT20 KNHC 101127 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the west-central Atlantic Ocean, on Hurricane Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic, and on Hurricane Isaac, located over the central tropical Atlantic. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and western Cuba are associated with a weak surface trough. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly northwestward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Yucatan Peninsula over the next couple of days with only slow development expected during that time. However, upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive, and a tropical depression could form late this week when the system moves across the western Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form in the northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west-southwest of the Azores in about two days. Some slow tropical or subtropical development is possible by the end of the week while the low moves southwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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