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Tropical Storm CARLOS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2015-06-11 16:39:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUN 11 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 111439 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 1500 UTC THU JUN 11 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) 6(20) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 5(20) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) L CARDENAS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 17(26) 9(35) 3(38) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) 19(33) 8(41) 3(44) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) X(10) ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ACAPULCO 34 1 4( 5) 11(16) 12(28) 18(46) 3(49) 2(51) ACAPULCO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 2(13) X(13) ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) P MALDONADO 34 1 3( 4) 10(14) 9(23) 12(35) 1(36) 1(37) P MALDONADO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) P MALDONADO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) HUATULCO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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carlos
Summary for Tropical Storm CARLOS (EP3/EP032015)
2015-06-11 16:39:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORMS SOUTH OF MEXICO... As of 10:00 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 the center of CARLOS was located near 13.6, -100.4 with movement NW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm CARLOS Public Advisory Number 4
2015-06-11 16:39:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT THU JUN 11 2015 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 111439 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 1000 AM CDT THU JUN 11 2015 ...TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORMS SOUTH OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.6N 100.4W ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM SSE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was located near latitude 13.6 North, longitude 100.4 West. Carlos is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). Carlos is expected to slow its forward speed and meander toward the north during the next two days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Locally heavy rains could spread over portions of the southern coast of Mexico, primarily in the states of Oaxaca and Guerrero, during the next couple of days. SURF: Swells associated with Carlos are expected to increase near the coast of southern Mexico during the next few days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea
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Tropical Storm CARLOS Forecast Advisory Number 4
2015-06-11 16:39:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUN 11 2015 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 111439 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 1500 UTC THU JUN 11 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 100.4W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 100.4W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 100.3W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 14.0N 100.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 14.2N 100.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 14.4N 100.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.7N 100.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.6N 101.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 16.8N 104.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 17.7N 106.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 100.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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Carlos Santana to play anthem before Game 2 of NBA Finals
2015-06-06 01:27:03| Telecom - Topix.net
Carlos Santana and wife Cindy Blackman Santana will perform the national anthem before Game 2 of the NBA Finals between the Warriors and the Cavaliers, according to an NBA spokesman. Blackman Santana may be better known as Lenny Kravitz's longtime drummer.
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