Home › cristobal
 

Keywords :   


Tag: cristobal

Tropical Storm Cristobal Forecast Advisory Number 18

2020-06-06 05:01:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 060301 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 0300 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR EASTERN MEXICO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI * LAKE BORGNE A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INDIAN PASS TO AREPIKA FLORIDA * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR * EAST OF MORGAN CITY...LOUISIANA TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY FLORIDA LINE * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO MORGAN CITY A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 90.1W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......210NE 180SE 0SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 330SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 90.1W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 90.0W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 24.1N 90.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...240NE 180SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 25.9N 90.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 150SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.7N 90.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 140SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 29.5N 90.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.7N 91.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 34.4N 92.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 42.0N 90.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 90.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 06/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/LATTO

Tags: number storm advisory tropical

 

Tropical Storm Cristobal Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map

2020-06-06 04:45:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Sat, 06 Jun 2020 02:45:03 GMT

Tags: map storm tropical surge

 
 

Tropical Storm Cristobal Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map

2020-06-06 04:45:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Sat, 06 Jun 2020 02:45:03 GMT

Tags: map storm tropical surge

 

Tropical Storm Cristobal Graphics

2020-06-06 04:41:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 06 Jun 2020 02:41:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 06 Jun 2020 03:24:54 GMT

Tags: graphics storm tropical cristobal

 

Tropical Storm Cristobal Forecast Discussion Number 18

2020-06-06 04:39:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1000 PM CDT Fri Jun 05 2020 025 WTNT43 KNHC 060239 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Cristobal Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020 1000 PM CDT Fri Jun 05 2020 The NOAA and Air Force Hurricane Hunters have been investigating Cristobal this evening and they have found that the storm is a little stronger. The pressure has dropped to 998 mb and a combination of flight-level, SFMR, and dropsonde data support a wind speed of about 40 kt. Cristobal continues to have a large and asymmetric appearance with most of the showers and thunderstorms and strong winds to the north and east of the center. The storm is moving northward at a slightly faster pace, about 12 kt. A south to north steering flow between a deep-layer ridge over the western Atlantic and a mid- to upper-level trough over the western Gulf of Mexico should cause Cristobal to continue moving generally northward for the next couple of days. This motion should take the center of the storm across the Louisiana coast by Sunday night. Around the landfall time, a slight turn to the northwest is expected as a mid-level ridge moves across the central and eastern U.S. Overall, the models are in fairly good agreement and only small changes were made to the previous NHC track forecast. This prediction lies near the middle of the guidance envelope. Cristobal will likely continue to slowly strengthen until it makes landfall along the northern Gulf coast in a couple of days. However, the broad structure of the cyclone, dry air on the west side of the system, and moderate wind shear should prevent a significant amount of intensification. The NHC intensity forecast is largely an update of the previous one and is close to the various consensus models. Cristobal is likely to remain a broad and asymmetric storm when it makes landfall. Therefore, users are urged to not focus on the exact forecast path as the associated winds, storm surge, and rainfall will extend well to the east of the center. Key Messages: 1. Damaging and deadly flooding was already occurring in portions of Mexico and Central America. Cristobal is expected to produce additional extreme rainfall amounts for another day or so. The heaviest additional rainfall is expected over far southern Mexico and portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, while also extending along the Pacific coast from Chiapas to Guatemala and El Salvador. This rainfall could cause widespread life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Refer to products from your local weather office for more information. 2. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge outside of the Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs, Mississippi, and a Storm Surge Warning is in effect for those areas. Life-threatening storm surge remains possible along the Florida Big Bend and in other portions of southern and southeastern Louisiana where a Storm Surge Watch is in effect. Residents in these locations should follow advice given by local emergency officials. 3. Tropical storm force winds are expected by late Saturday night along the northern Gulf Coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle, including metropolitan New Orleans, and a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for this area. These winds will arrive well in advance of and extend well east of Cristobals center. 4. Heavy rainfall will spread into portions of the Gulf Coast, from east Texas to Florida this weekend into early next week, with areas of flash flooding. Significant flooding will be possible on smaller tributaries, especially where heavier rainfall occurs over portions of Louisiana and Mississippi. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/0300Z 22.7N 90.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 06/1200Z 24.1N 90.3W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 07/0000Z 25.9N 90.3W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 07/1200Z 27.7N 90.2W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 08/0000Z 29.5N 90.8W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 60H 08/1200Z 31.7N 91.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 72H 09/0000Z 34.4N 92.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 96H 10/0000Z 42.0N 90.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 120H 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: number discussion storm tropical

 

Sites : [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] next »