je.st
news
Tag: tropical
Tropical Storm Kevin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2021-08-09 16:32:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 09 2021 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 091432 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112021 1500 UTC MON AUG 09 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KEVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X 42(42) 31(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) ISLA CLARION 50 X 11(11) 21(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) ISLA CLARION 64 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 17(18) 5(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 26(30) X(30) X(30) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER LATTO
Summary for Tropical Storm Kevin (EP1/EP112021)
2021-08-09 16:32:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KEVIN MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT CONTINUES TO BATTLE WIND SHEAR... As of 9:00 AM MDT Mon Aug 9 the center of Kevin was located near 16.6, -111.5 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tags: summary
kevin
storm
tropical
Tropical Storm Kevin Public Advisory Number 9
2021-08-09 16:32:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Mon Aug 09 2021 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 091432 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kevin Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112021 900 AM MDT Mon Aug 09 2021 ...KEVIN MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT CONTINUES TO BATTLE WIND SHEAR... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.6N 111.5W ABOUT 445 MI...720 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kevin was located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 111.5 West. Kevin is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is possible during the next couple of days, followed by a gradual weakening trend thereafter. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Kevin are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico, and are expected to spread northward to the coast of Baja California Sur today and Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: number
public
kevin
storm
Tropical Storm Kevin Forecast Advisory Number 9
2021-08-09 16:32:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 09 2021 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 091432 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112021 1500 UTC MON AUG 09 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 111.5W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 60SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 120SE 60SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 111.5W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 111.2W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.3N 112.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.1N 114.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.9N 115.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.7N 117.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.6N 119.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.4N 121.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 23.0N 125.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 24.5N 130.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 111.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
Tags: number
kevin
storm
advisory
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-09 13:46:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 091146 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Aug 9 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms have become more concentrated this morning in association with a low pressure system located about 150 miles east of Barbados. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or tonight while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The disturbance is forecast to reach portions of the Lesser Antilles tonight, then move near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Tuesday, and be near Hispaniola around the middle of this week. Tropical storm watches or warnings could be required today with shorter-than-normal lead times for portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. In addition, heavy rains and flooding are likely for the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Interests in those areas should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have changed little in association with an elongated low pressure area located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Development of this system is becoming less likely during the next few days while it moves toward the west or west-southwest at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Sites : [504] [505] [506] [507] [508] [509] [510] [511] [512] [513] [514] [515] [516] [517] [518] [519] [520] [521] [522] [523] next »