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Tropical Depression Andres Public Advisory Number 9
2021-05-11 10:33:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Tue May 11 2021 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 110833 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Andres Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012021 300 AM MDT Tue May 11 2021 ...ANDRES EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER THIS MORNING... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 111.0W ABOUT 490 MI...785 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Andres was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 111.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast, and Andres is expected to become a remnant low later this morning and dissipate late Wednesday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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Tropical Depression Andres Forecast Advisory Number 9
2021-05-11 10:33:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE MAY 11 2021 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 110832 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012021 0900 UTC TUE MAY 11 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 111.0W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 111.0W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 110.7W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.9N 111.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.9N 112.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.8N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 111.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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Tropical Depression Andres Graphics
2021-05-11 04:33:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 11 May 2021 02:33:38 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 11 May 2021 03:22:39 GMT
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Tropical Depression Andres Forecast Discussion Number 8
2021-05-11 04:32:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT Mon May 10 2021 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 110232 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Andres Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012021 900 PM MDT Mon May 10 2021 Andres is not expected to be a tropical cyclone much longer. Earlier today, strong west-southwesterly shear caused the thunderstorm activity to be stripped away from the center, and now Andres is nearly devoid of deep convection. The initial intensity is held at 30 kt based on a combination of the latest Dvorak estimates. Andres is expected to become a remnant low by Tuesday morning due to a combination of the continued strong shear and cooler SSTs along the forecast track. These hostile conditions should cause the remnant low to dissipate in a couple of days, which is shown by the GFS, ECMWF, and UKMET global models. After moving northwestward during the past day or two, Andres has now turned sharply to the west due to the decoupling of the low- and mid-level centers. A continued westward motion at about 5 kt is expected until the cyclone dissipates. This forecast is located to the south of the previous one due to the change in the initial motion. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/0300Z 15.9N 110.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 11/1200Z 16.0N 111.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 12/0000Z 16.1N 112.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 12/1200Z 16.1N 113.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Summary for Tropical Depression Andres (EP1/EP012021)
2021-05-11 04:31:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ANDRES EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TUESDAY MORNING... As of 9:00 PM MDT Mon May 10 the center of Andres was located near 15.9, -110.3 with movement W at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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