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Subtropical Storm Theta Public Advisory Number 2
2020-11-10 09:47:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 900 AM GMT Tue Nov 10 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 100847 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Theta Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL302020 900 AM GMT Tue Nov 10 2020 ...THETA EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS... SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.8N 39.5W ABOUT 960 MI...1545 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Theta was located near latitude 28.8 North, longitude 39.5 West. The storm is moving toward the east near 12 mph (19 km/h). An eastward to east-northeastward motion across the eastern Atlantic is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected during the next few days. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Subtropical Storm Theta Forecast Advisory Number 2
2020-11-10 09:47:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE NOV 10 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 100847 TCMAT5 SUBTROPICAL STORM THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020 0900 UTC TUE NOV 10 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 39.5W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 70SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 39.5W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 40.0W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 28.9N 37.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT... 30NE 80SE 130SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 29.2N 35.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 70SE 130SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.7N 33.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.4N 31.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 31.0N 29.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.4N 26.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 110SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 32.2N 22.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 33.1N 19.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 39.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Subtropical Storm Theta Graphics
2020-11-10 04:01:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 10 Nov 2020 03:01:27 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 10 Nov 2020 03:32:09 GMT
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Subtropical Storm Theta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2020-11-10 04:00:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE NOV 10 2020 000 FONT15 KNHC 100300 PWSAT5 SUBTROPICAL STORM THETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020 0300 UTC TUE NOV 10 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM THETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/BROWN
Summary for Subtropical Storm Theta (AT5/AL302020)
2020-11-10 03:59:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...SUBTROPICAL STORM FORMS OVER THE OPEN NORTHEAST ATLANTIC... ...RECORD-BREAKING 29TH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON... As of 3:00 AM GMT Tue Nov 10 the center of Theta was located near 28.8, -40.3 with movement E at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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