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Subtropical Storm Beryl Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16

2018-07-14 18:49:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1700 UTC SAT JUL 14 2018 804 FONT12 KNHC 141649 PWSAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022018 1700 UTC SAT JUL 14 2018 AT 1700Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Summary for Subtropical Storm Beryl (AT2/AL022018)

2018-07-14 18:49:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...REMNANTS OF BERYL RE-DEVELOP AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM... As of 1:00 PM AST Sat Jul 14 the center of Beryl was located near 36.4, -65.7 with movement NE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1010 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Subtropical Storm Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 16

2018-07-14 18:49:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1700 UTC SAT JUL 14 2018 538 WTNT22 KNHC 141648 TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022018 1700 UTC SAT JUL 14 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N 65.7W AT 14/1700Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N 65.7W AT 14/1700Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 66.2W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 37.3N 64.9W...SUBTROPICAL STORM MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 39.3N 63.7W...SUBTROPICAL STORM MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 41.2N 61.6W...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 43.4N 58.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 48.0N 53.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.4N 65.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Subtropical Storm Alberto Graphics

2018-05-29 01:51:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 28 May 2018 23:51:30 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 28 May 2018 20:44:48 GMT

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Summary for Subtropical Storm Alberto (AT1/AL012018)

2018-05-29 01:50:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...WEAKENING ALBERTO MOVING FARTHER INLAND... As of 7:00 PM CDT Mon May 28 the center of Alberto was located near 30.9, -86.1 with movement N at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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