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Subtropical Depression Five Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2018-08-15 10:37:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2018 226 FONT15 KNHC 150837 PWSAT5 SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052018 0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Summary for Subtropical Depression Five (AT5/AL052018)
2018-08-15 10:37:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Aug 15 the center of Five was located near 37.6, -45.6 with movement N at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Subtropical Depression Five Public Advisory Number 1
2018-08-15 10:37:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Aug 15 2018 921 WTNT35 KNHC 150837 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Subtropical Depression Five Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052018 500 AM AST Wed Aug 15 2018 ...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.6N 45.6W ABOUT 1015 MI...1630 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Depression Five was located near latitude 37.6 North, longitude 45.6 West. The subtropical depression is moving toward the north near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected today. A faster northeastward motion is forecast to occur on Thursday and Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and the subtropical depression is expected to become a subtropical storm later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Subtropical Depression Five Forecast Advisory Number 1
2018-08-15 10:36:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2018 645 WTNT25 KNHC 150836 TCMAT5 SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052018 0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 45.6W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 45.6W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 45.6W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.5N 45.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 40.2N 44.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 42.5N 41.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 45.1N 37.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 51.0N 24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.6N 45.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Subtropical Depression Alberto Public Advisory Number 19
2018-05-29 23:57:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 400 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018
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