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Summary for Tropical Depression SONIA (EP3/EP182013)

2013-11-04 09:34:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...SONIA MOVES INLAND OVER SINALOA AND WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 1:00 AM PST Mon Nov 4 the center of SONIA was located near 24.6, -107.3 with movement NNE at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression SONIA Public Advisory Number 13

2013-11-04 09:34:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 100 AM PST MON NOV 04 2013 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 040834 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SONIA ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182013 100 AM PST MON NOV 04 2013 ...SONIA MOVES INLAND OVER SINALOA AND WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 100 AM PST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.6N 107.3W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SE OF CULIACAN MEXICO ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM NNW OF MAZATLAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND WARNING FOR THE COAST OF SINALOA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF SONIA MOVED INLAND ALONG THE COAST OF SINALOA NEAR THE CITY OF EL DORADO A FEW HOURS AGO. AT 100 AM PST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SONIA WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST. SONIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H... AND AN ADDITIONAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND SONIA WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE LATER TODAY OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF MEXICO. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SINALOA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. RAINFALL...SONIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...IN PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA...WESTERN DURANGO...AND SOUTHERN CHIHUAHUA. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...700 AM PST. $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Tropical Depression SONIA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13

2013-11-04 09:34:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON NOV 04 2013 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 040834 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SONIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182013 0900 UTC MON NOV 04 2013 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SONIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 21 NA NA NA NA NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 74 NA NA NA NA NA NA TROPICAL STORM 5 NA NA NA NA NA NA HURRICANE X NA NA NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 X NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 2 X NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 3 X NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 4 X NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 5 X NA NA NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 20KT NA NA NA NA NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Tropical Depression SONIA Forecast Advisory Number 13

2013-11-04 09:33:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON NOV 04 2013 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 040833 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SONIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182013 0900 UTC MON NOV 04 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND WARNING FOR THE COAST OF SINALOA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 107.3W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 107.3W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 107.4W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 25.0N 107.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 107.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

Tags: number advisory tropical depression