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Summary for Tropical Depression Daniel (EP5/EP052018)

2018-06-25 22:31:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...DANIEL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 2:00 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 the center of Daniel was located near 19.4, -118.1 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression Daniel Public Advisory Number 8

2018-06-25 22:31:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 252031 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Daniel Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052018 200 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 ...DANIEL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.4N 118.1W ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Daniel was located near latitude 19.4 North, longitude 118.1 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected tonight, followed by a westward motion on Tuesday and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Daniel is expected to degenerate into a remnant low pressure area on Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Tropical Depression Daniel Forecast Advisory Number 8

2018-06-25 22:31:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUN 25 2018 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 252031 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052018 2100 UTC MON JUN 25 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 118.1W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 118.1W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 117.9W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.8N 119.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.0N 121.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.1N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.0N 125.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 118.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Tropical Storm Daniel Graphics

2018-06-25 16:37:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 25 Jun 2018 14:37:54 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 25 Jun 2018 14:37:55 GMT

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Tropical Storm Daniel Forecast Discussion Number 7

2018-06-25 16:33:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 251433 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Daniel Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052018 800 AM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 Convection associated with Daniel is gradually diminishing as the cyclone moves over cooler water, with the remaining convection just to the west or southwest of the center. The initial intensity is reduced to 35 kt based on various subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates. Daniel should continue to weaken over sea surface temperatures of 23-24C, with the system expected to drop below tropical storm strength in the next 12 h and to degenerate to a remnant low by 36 h. The cyclone is starting its expected left turn with the initial motion now 315/8. A combination of a mid- to upper-level low to the west-southwest and a low- to mid-level ridge to the north should cause Daniel to turn west-northwestward to westward during the next 36 h, with the westward motion continuing until the cyclone dissipates. The new track forecast is similar to the previous forecast and is close to the center of the guidance envelope through 48 h. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/1500Z 19.0N 117.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 26/0000Z 19.6N 118.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 26/1200Z 20.1N 120.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 27/0000Z 20.2N 122.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 27/1200Z 20.3N 124.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 28/1200Z 20.0N 128.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven

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