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Tropical Depression Daniel Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2018-06-26 04:34:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 26 2018 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 260234 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052018 0300 UTC TUE JUN 26 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 120W 34 9 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Depression Daniel Forecast Advisory Number 9
2018-06-26 04:33:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 26 2018 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 260233 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052018 0300 UTC TUE JUN 26 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 118.8W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 118.8W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 118.4W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.0N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.2N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.0N 124.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 118.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Depression Daniel Graphics
2018-06-25 22:33:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 25 Jun 2018 20:33:37 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 25 Jun 2018 20:33:37 GMT
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Tropical Depression Daniel Forecast Discussion Number 8
2018-06-25 22:32:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 252032 TCDEP5 Tropical Depression Daniel Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052018 200 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 Convection associated with Daniel continues to diminish as the cyclone moves over cooler water, and most satellite intensity estimates have dropped below tropical-storm strength. Thus, Daniel is downgraded to a tropical depression. The system should continue to weaken over sea surface temperatures near 23C, and it is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by 24 h and to dissipate completely between 48-72 h. The initial motion is now 305/7. Daniel should turn more westward during the next 24 h as low-level easterly flow on the south side of the subtropical ridge becomes the main steering mechanism, and this motion should continue through dissipation. The new track forecast is similar to the previous forecast and it is a little north of the center of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/2100Z 19.4N 118.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 26/0600Z 19.8N 119.4W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 26/1800Z 20.0N 121.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 27/0600Z 20.1N 123.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 27/1800Z 20.0N 125.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Depression Daniel Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2018-06-25 22:31:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUN 25 2018 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 252031 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052018 2100 UTC MON JUN 25 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 120W 34 5 11(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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