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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone LINDA (EP5/EP152015)
2015-09-10 22:32:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...LINDA NOW A POST-TROPICAL LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Thu Sep 10 the center of LINDA was located near 26.4, -119.0 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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linda
cyclone
ep5ep152015
Post-Tropical Cyclone LINDA Public Advisory Number 20
2015-09-10 22:32:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT THU SEP 10 2015 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 102032 TCPEP5 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 200 PM PDT THU SEP 10 2015 ...LINDA NOW A POST-TROPICAL LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.4N 119.0W ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Linda was located near latitude 26.4 North, longitude 119.0 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the west-northwest and a decrease in forward speed are forecast on Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Linda are affecting the Pacific coast of the Baja California peninsula and southern California. These swells are likely to continue for another day or two and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN01 KWBC, and on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEP1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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public
linda
advisory
Post-Tropical Cyclone LINDA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20
2015-09-10 22:32:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 10 2015 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 102032 PWSEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LINDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 2100 UTC THU SEP 10 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Post-Tropical Cyclone KEVIN Graphics
2015-09-05 17:26:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 05 Sep 2015 14:44:40 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 05 Sep 2015 15:10:14 GMT
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kevin
cyclone
posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone KEVIN Forecast Discussion Number 20
2015-09-05 16:46:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT SAT SEP 05 2015 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 051446 TCDEP4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142015 900 AM MDT SAT SEP 05 2015 Strong south-southwesterly vertical wind shear of around 30 kt removed deep convection from Kevin's low-level circulation, beginning around 0000 UTC. The deep convection, along with Kevin's mid-level circulation, has since dissipated. With no active convection for some time, Kevin is being declared a post-tropical remnant low. The initial wind speed is lowered to 30 kt in accordance with the latest satellite classifications and based on the assumption that some spin down of the circulation has occurred since the last advisory. Global models depict Kevin degenerating into a trough of low pressure in about 12 hours, and the official forecast indicates dissipation in about a day. The cyclone was moving north-northeastward overnight while slowing down, but has since turned northward and recently north- northwestward. The initial motion estimate is now 340/06. A turn toward the northwest is expected before the cyclone dissipates tomorrow in agreement with the track model guidance. For additional information on this remnant low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/1500Z 23.6N 114.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 06/0000Z 24.0N 115.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kimberlain
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discussion
kevin
forecast
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