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Remnants of Six-E Public Advisory Number 5
2020-07-14 22:36:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 142036 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Remnants Of Six-E Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062020 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 ...DEPRESSION OPENS INTO A TROUGH... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.2N 118.0W ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the remnants of Six-E were located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 118.0 West. The remnants are moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h) and they should continue moving in that direction for another day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on this system please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Remnants of Six-E Forecast Advisory Number 5
2020-07-14 22:36:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 142036 TCMEP1 REMNANTS OF SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062020 2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 118.0W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 118.0W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 117.3W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 118.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Depression Six-E Graphics
2020-07-14 16:39:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 14 Jul 2020 14:39:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 14 Jul 2020 14:39:23 GMT
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Tropical Depression Six-E Forecast Discussion Number 4
2020-07-14 16:38:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 802 WTPZ41 KNHC 141438 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Six-E Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062020 800 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 The depression has been moving over a ridge of warmer sea surface temperatures (about 28C) over the past few hours, and a nontrivial amount of deep convection redeveloped soon after the issuance of the previous advisory, albeit at least 60 n mi to the southwest of the low-level center. However, with no appreciable change in the cyclone's structure, the initial intensity remains 25 kt in accordance with the overnight scatterometer data. The depression is forecast to reach waters colder than 26C in 12-24 hours, which should extinguish the remaining deep convection. The updated NHC forecast now shows the depression degenerating into a remnant low by 24 hours, with dissipation by 48 hours. Another scenario is that the depression could dissipate at any time if it opens up into a trough, which is shown by most of the global model guidance. The depression is moving west-northwestward, or 285/14 kt, which is more poleward than has been shown by the dynamical track models. Because of this, the simpler shallow trajectory models are given a higher contribution on this cycle, with the new NHC track forecast ending up a bit north of the previous forecast. The depression and its remnants are expected to gradually accelerate toward the west-northwest or west over the next day or two until dissipation. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/1500Z 18.1N 116.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 15/0000Z 18.3N 119.1W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 15/1200Z 18.4N 122.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 16/0000Z 18.2N 126.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
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Summary for Tropical Depression Six-E (EP1/EP062020)
2020-07-14 16:37:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW OR DISSIPATE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY... As of 8:00 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 the center of Six-E was located near 18.1, -116.6 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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