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Tropical Depression Six-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3

2020-07-14 10:31:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 140830 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062020 0900 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Summary for Tropical Depression Six-E (EP1/EP062020)

2020-07-14 10:30:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...WEAK DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD... As of 2:00 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 the center of Six-E was located near 17.3, -115.1 with movement W at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

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Tropical Depression Six-E Public Advisory Number 3

2020-07-14 10:30:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 140830 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062020 200 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 ...WEAK DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 115.1W ABOUT 515 MI...825 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six-E was located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 115.1 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 16 mph, and this general motion is expected for the next couple of days. Satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds have decreased near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is forecast to decay into a post-tropical cyclone on Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Blake

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Tropical Depression Six-E Forecast Advisory Number 3

2020-07-14 10:30:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 140830 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062020 0900 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 115.1W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 115.1W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 114.4W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.4N 117.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.5N 120.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.2N 124.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.0N 128.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 115.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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