je.st
news
Tag: sixe
Tropical Depression Six-E Public Advisory Number 4
2020-07-14 16:37:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 141436 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062020 800 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW OR DISSIPATE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 116.6W ABOUT 545 MI...880 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six-E was located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 116.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A faster motion toward the west-northwest or west is expected during the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or two, and the depression is expected to become a remnant low or dissipate by early Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Six-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2020-07-14 16:37:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 141436 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062020 1500 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Tropical Depression Six-E Forecast Advisory Number 4
2020-07-14 16:36:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 141436 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062020 1500 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 116.6W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 116.6W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 115.8W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.3N 119.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.4N 122.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.2N 126.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 116.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Six-E Graphics
2020-07-14 10:33:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 14 Jul 2020 08:33:36 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 14 Jul 2020 09:24:37 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression Six-E Forecast Discussion Number 3
2020-07-14 10:32:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 140832 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Six-E Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062020 200 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 Satellite images show that the center of the tropical depression is exposed well to the east-northeast of its decaying mid-level circulation and any scant remaining convection. A pair of recent scatterometer passes indicate that the current wind speed is not more than 25 kt, so that value is used for this advisory. While the system still has a day or so of marginally conducive environmental conditions, the current displacement of the low- and mid-level centers suggests that the depression is unlikely to strengthen. Thus, little change in intensity is forecast through today, and some weakening is likely on Wednesday and Thursday as the cyclone encounters cooler water and higher shear. The timing of remnant low status has been moved to Wednesday since the small, poorly organized depression is expected to fall apart quickly in a more hostile environment. The cyclone continues moving westward and is forecast to move a little faster in that general direction by late today due to the effects of a strong ridge. The most significant change to the forecast is that almost all of the guidance is north of the previous model cycle, so the NHC track prediction is shifted in that direction. None of the models show a closed low after 48 hours, so dissipation is shown after that time, which makes sense given the expected fragility of this system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/0900Z 17.3N 115.1W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 14/1800Z 17.4N 117.4W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 15/0600Z 17.5N 120.8W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 15/1800Z 17.2N 124.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 16/0600Z 17.0N 128.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression