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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-20 07:40:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

683 ABNT20 KNHC 200540 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Sep 20 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A westward-moving tropical wave is producing a small but concentrated area of thunderstorms about 850 miles east of the Windward Islands. Some additional development is possible today before upper-level winds become increasingly unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation starting tonight and continuing through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system is forecast to develop by Friday night over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Azores. Conditions are expected to be conducive for the low to acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone could form over the weekend or early next week while the low meanders over the central Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-20 07:14:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

462 ABPZ20 KNHC 200514 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Sep 19 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen-E, located inland over the Mexican state of Sonora. An elongated area of low pressure located almost 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system during the next few days should be slow to occur before upper-level winds become unfavorable for development over the weekend. This disturbance is forecast to move slowly west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days well to the south of the southern coast of Mexico. Some slow development is possible early next week while the system moves nearly parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-20 01:49:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

196 ABNT20 KNHC 192349 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Sep 19 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A westward-moving tropical wave is producing a small but concentrated area of thunderstorms about 900 miles east of the Windward Islands. Some slow development of this disturbance will be possible through early Friday before environmental conditions become quite unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation by late Friday and continuing through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system is forecast to develop this weekend over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Azores. After that time, conditions are expected to become favorable for the formation of a subtropical or tropical cyclone while the low meanders over the central Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-20 01:33:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

363 ABPZ20 KNHC 192333 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Sep 19 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen-E located over the Gulf of California. An elongated area of low pressure located about 850 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible before upper-level winds become unfavorable for development late this weekend. This disturbance is expected to move west-northwestward during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of disturbed weather is expected to form in a couple of days well to the south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Some slow development of this system is possible late this weekend and early next week while the disturbance moves nearly parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-19 19:44:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

930 ABPZ20 KNHC 191744 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 19 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Nineteen-E located over the southern Gulf of California. An elongated area of low pressure located about 850 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become less organized today. Environmental conditions could be conducive for some gradual development of this system during the next few days while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of disturbed weather is expected to form over the weekend a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Some slow development of this system is possible early next week while the system moves nearly parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. Forecaster Roth/Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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