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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-17 01:25:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
475 ABPZ20 KNHC 162325 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Sep 16 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions appear conducive for tropical cyclone formation, the large size of the system suggests that any development should be slow to occur. This system will likely become a tropical depression later this week while it moves generally northwestward or northward at about 10 mph. Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A small area of low pressure located about 650 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Significant development of this system is unlikely due to unfavorable environmental conditions. This system is expected to move slowly west- southwestward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Landsea
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-16 19:34:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
209 ABNT20 KNHC 161734 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the final advisory on Helene that has become a Post-Tropical Cyclone over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Depression Joyce, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Azores. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Florence, located inland over South Carolina. A broad area of low pressure, associated with the remnants of Isaac, is located about 125 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. This system continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean Sea. Some slow development is possible during the next day or so as it moves west-northwestward toward the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Afterward, environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive and re-development appears unlikely. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are forecast over portions of Hispaniola, Jamaica, and eastern Cuba during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Florence are issued by the Weather Prediction Center under AWIPS header TCPAT1, WMO header WTNT31 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-16 19:33:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
625 ABPZ20 KNHC 161733 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Sep 16 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure is centered a few hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although environmental conditions appear conducive for tropical cyclone formation, the large size of the system suggests that development should be slow to occur. This system will likely become a tropical depression later this week while it moves generally northwestward at about 10 mph. Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A small area of low pressure located about 600 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing an area of showers and thunderstorms to the west of the center. Significant development of this system is unlikely due to unfavorable environmental conditions. This system is expected to move slowly west-southwestward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-16 13:24:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
893 ABPZ20 KNHC 161124 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Sep 16 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles southwest of Mexico is associated with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while it moves generally northwestward at about 10 mph. Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-16 13:24:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
892 ABNT20 KNHC 161124 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Florence, located inland over central South Carolina, on Tropical Storm Helene, located a few hundred miles north of the central Azores, and on Tropical Storm Joyce, located about 600 miles west-southwest of the Azores. A broad area of low pressure, associated with the remnants of Isaac, is located a couple of hundred miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. This system is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the north-central Caribbean Sea. Some slow development is possible during the next day or so as it moves west-northwestward toward the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Afterward, environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive and re-development appears unlikely. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are forecast over portions of Hispaniola, Jamaica, and eastern Cuba during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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