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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-01 01:16:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 312316 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Aug 31 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 850 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive for development during the next day or two, and the chance of this system becoming a tropical cyclone appears to be decreasing. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-01 01:11:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 312310 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Aug 31 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories newly formed Tropical Depression Fifteen, located about 175 miles south-southwest of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Showers and thunderstorms have increased this evening in association with a broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea. However, satellite-derived winds indicated earlier today that there is no closed circulation. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in Jamaica, northern Nicaragua, Honduras, Belize, Guatemala and the Yucatan peninsula should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of Africa in a day or so. Gradual development of this system will be possible through the end of the week while it moves slowly westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-31 19:46:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 311746 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 31 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward. By mid-week, however, environmental conditions are expected to become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-31 19:41:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

886 ABNT20 KNHC 311741 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Aug 31 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea has changed little in organization since yesterday, and satellite-derived winds indicate that there is no closed circulation. However, environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in Jamaica, Honduras, Belize, Guatemala and the Yucatan peninsula should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is located about 135 miles southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina. This system continues to become better organized, and a tropical depression is expected to form later today or tonight while the system moves northeastward, near but offshore of the southeastern coast of the United States and then away from land. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is en route to investigate the system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of Africa in a day or two. Gradual development of this system will be possible through the end of the week while it moves slowly westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-31 13:38:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 311138 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Aug 31 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea has changed little in organization since yesterday. However, environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves westward at at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in Jamaica, Honduras, Belize, Guatemala and the Yucatan peninsula should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is located about 150 miles south-southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina. This system has become better organized overnight, and a tropical depression is likely to form within a day or so while the system moves northeastward, near but offshore of the southeastern coast of the United States, and then away from land. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of Africa in a couple of days. Gradual development of this system will be possible through the end of the week while it moves slowly westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Another tropical wave is located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean, several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system is producing little shower activity, and further development of this system is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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