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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-09 01:07:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

741 ABPZ20 KNHC 082307 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Sep 8 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Olaf, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days to the south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear favorable for development of this system, and a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week while it moves west-northwestward near the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-08 21:19:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 081919 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 320 PM EDT Wed Sep 8 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special outlook issued to update discussion of the disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the central Atlantic several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Updated: Satellite and radar data indicate that shower and thunderstorm activity continues to gradually become better organized in association with an area of low pressure located about 115 miles southwest of Apalachicola, Florida. In addition, satellite-derived wind data indicate that the circulation has become somewhat better defined today. If these development trends continue, advisories will likely be initiated on this system as a tropical depression or tropical storm later this afternoon, and tropical storm warnings could be required for portions of the coast of the Florida Panhandle. After reaching the Florida Panhandle tonight, this system is expected to move across the southeastern United States and emerge over the western Atlantic by late Thursday, where environmental conditions appear unfavorable for additional development. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall are likely across portions of the Florida panhandle and southern Georgia through Thursday, with localized flooding possible. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the western coast of Africa in a few days. Some development of this system is possible thereafter as it moves west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan/Papin

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-08 19:42:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 081742 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 200 PM EDT Wed Sep 8 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the central Atlantic several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized today in association with a surface trough and an upper-level disturbance over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. In addition, recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that a broad area of low pressure may be forming. The system is expected to move northeastward through this evening, and a tropical depression could form before it reaches the northeastern Gulf coast tonight or early Thursday. The disturbance is then expected to cross the southeastern United States and emerge over the western Atlantic late this week, where environmental conditions appear unfavorable for additional development. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall are likely across portions of the Florida panhandle and southern Georgia through Thursday, with localized flooding possible. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the western coast of Africa in a few days. Some development of this system is possible thereafter as it moves west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-08 19:36:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 081736 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 8 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Olaf, located a few hundred miles south- southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is expected to form over the weekend a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear favorable for some development of this system early next week while it moves west-northwestward near or just offshore of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Olaf are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-08 13:55:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 081154 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Sep 8 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is expected to form over the weekend a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear favorable for some development of this system early next week while it moves west-northwestward near or just offshore of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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