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Tropical Storm Sally Public Advisory Number 5

2020-09-12 22:49:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 000 WTNT34 KNHC 122048 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Sally Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192020 500 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 ...SALLY MOVING SLOWLY AWAY FROM EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA... ...STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.7N 81.9W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSW OF NAPLES FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Storm Surge Watch is in effect from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Alabama/Florida Border, including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, Lake Borgne, and Mobile Bay. A Hurricane Watch is in effect from Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border, including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and metropolitan New Orleans. The Tropical Storm watch has been extended westward from the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to the Alabama/Florida Border. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Alabama/Florida Border * Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Lake Borgne * Mobile Bay A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border * Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas including metropolitan New Orleans A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Alabama/Florida Border to Ochlockonee River Florida A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area within the next 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sally was located near latitude 25.7 North, longitude 81.9 West. Sally is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a turn toward the west-northwest is expected tonight. A west-northwestward or northwestward motion is then expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center is forecast to move over the southeastern and eastern Gulf of Mexico tonight and Sunday, and then move over the north-central Gulf of Mexico Sunday night and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected over the next couple of days, and Sally is forecast to become a hurricane on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs, MS including Lake Borgne...6-9 ft Ocean Springs, MS to MS/AL Border...4-6 ft MS/AL Border to AL/FL Border, including Mobile Bay...2-4 ft Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas...2-4 ft AL/FL Border to Chassahowitzka, FL, including Pensacola Bay, Choctawhatchee Bay, and Saint Andrew Bay...1-3 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area by early Tuesday, with tropical storm conditions possible within the watch area by Monday. Wind gusts to tropical-storm force are possible across the southern portion of the Florida peninsula through this evening, especially over the Florida Keys. RAINFALL: Sally is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches over southern Florida and the Florida Keys through tonight. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts of 6 inches are expected along the west coast of Florida through Sunday. This rainfall will produce flash and urban flooding across southern Florida and prolong high flows and ongoing minor flooding on rivers across central Florida. Sally is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches across the Florida Panhandle, and 6 to 12 inches with isolated amounts of 18 inches over the Central Gulf Coast from Sunday into the middle of next week. Sally is expected to be a slow moving system that will continue to produce heavy rainfall and considerable flooding near the central Gulf Coast through the middle of next week. Flash, urban and rapid onset flooding along small streams and minor to moderate flooding on rivers is likely. SURF: Swells are expected to spread northward along the west- central coast of Florida and reach the Florida Panhandle and the northern Gulf Coast during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible through tonight over south Florida. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Storm Sally Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

2020-09-12 22:48:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 122048 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM SALLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192020 2100 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SALLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) MARATHON FL 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NAPLES FL 34 13 X(13) 1(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) FT MYERS FL 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) VENICE FL 34 3 2( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) 1(11) TAMPA FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 2(10) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) 1(12) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 3(14) ST MARKS FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 2(13) APALACHICOLA 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) 7(22) 4(26) 3(29) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 4( 4) 14(18) 6(24) 6(30) 3(33) 2(35) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 9(18) 8(26) 6(32) 2(34) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 9(19) 9(28) 4(32) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 7(11) 5(16) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 12(15) 7(22) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 13(21) 6(27) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) MONTGOMERY AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 11(20) 12(32) 5(37) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 14(26) 11(37) 4(41) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 2(12) PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 2( 2) 45(47) 20(67) 6(73) 2(75) 1(76) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) 14(14) 17(31) 6(37) 1(38) 1(39) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) 1(15) 1(16) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 22(33) 14(47) 4(51) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15) 3(18) MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 30(44) 12(56) 4(60) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 8(23) 2(25) GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 32(44) 13(57) 4(61) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 9(25) 2(27) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 32(55) 8(63) 3(66) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 7(30) 2(32) BURAS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 36(52) 19(71) 3(74) 1(75) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 15(36) 5(41) 1(42) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 3(18) X(18) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 22(33) 5(38) JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) JACKSON MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 32(42) 13(55) 4(59) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 9(25) 2(27) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 23(36) 10(46) 2(48) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 6(17) 1(18) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) 14(40) 3(43) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 2(16) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 24(29) 13(42) 3(45) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 1(17) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 14(22) 3(25) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 14(30) 3(33) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 13(32) 3(35) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 6(17) 2(19) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 3(19) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 10(17) 2(19) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 8(19) 2(21) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 1(12) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 1(12) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 22(32) 15(47) 9(56) 2(58) PENSACOLA NAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 3(17) 2(19) PENSACOLA NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) KEESLER AB 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 25(31) 26(57) 9(66) 4(70) KEESLER AB 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 8(30) 3(33) KEESLER AB 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) 2(14) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Storm Sally Forecast Advisory Number 5

2020-09-12 22:47:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 122047 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM SALLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192020 2100 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...LAKE BORGNE...AND MOBILE BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD FROM THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND LAKE BORGNE * MOBILE BAY A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FLORIDA A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 81.9W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 81.9W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 81.5W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 26.4N 83.4W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 27.3N 85.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 28.0N 86.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 28.5N 88.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 29.0N 89.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 29.7N 89.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 31.1N 89.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 33.1N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 81.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 13/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Storm Sally Graphics

2020-09-12 20:07:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 12 Sep 2020 18:07:30 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 12 Sep 2020 15:40:04 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm Sally (AT4/AL192020)

2020-09-12 20:01:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...DEPRESSION BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM... As of 2:00 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 the center of Sally was located near 25.6, -81.6 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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