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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-10-19 07:01:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 190500 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system is located about 225 miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands. Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with this system are currently located well east of the center due to strong upper-level westerly winds. However, upper-level conditions are forecast to become more conducive for this system to acquire some tropical characteristics, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone is likely to form within the next couple of days. The low is forecast to move northward to north-northwestward on Wednesday and Thursday, before turning north-northeastward and merging with a cold front over the western Atlantic by the weekend. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, and portions of the northern Leeward Islands today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent $$ Forecaster Brown

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