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Post-Tropical Cyclone KIKO Forecast Discussion Number 12
2013-09-02 22:37:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT MON SEP 02 2013 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 022037 TCDEP1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KIKO DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112013 200 PM PDT MON SEP 02 2013 KIKO HAS BEEN DEVOID OF ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS AS IT HAS CONTINUED TO INGEST DRIER AND MORE STABLE LOW-LEVEL AIR AND HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER COOL WATERS THE PAST 6 HOURS. THEREFORE...THE CYCLONE IS BEING DESIGNATED AS A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. DESPITE THE LACK OF CONVECTION...SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS STILL QUITE ROBUST...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 30 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. NOW THAT KIKO HAS BECOME A SHALLOW VORTEX EMBEDDED IN WEAK LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW...THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE LITTLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT CONTINUES TO SPIN DOWN OVER 24C SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/2100Z 22.9N 116.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 03/0600Z 22.9N 116.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 03/1800Z 22.8N 116.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 04/0600Z 22.7N 116.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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