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Subtropical Storm Patty Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2024-11-03 03:32:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN NOV 03 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 030232 PWSAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172024 0300 UTC SUN NOV 03 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 27.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PONTA DELGADA 34 81 3(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) PONTA DELGADA 50 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Subtropical Storm Patty (AT2/AL172024)
2024-11-03 03:32:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...PATTY CONTINUING TO PASS NEAR THE AZORES... ...EXPECTED TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AZORES THROUGH THE WEEKEND... As of 3:00 AM GMT Sun Nov 3 the center of Patty was located near 37.9, -27.8 with movement E at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 985 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Subtropical Storm Patty Public Advisory Number 4
2024-11-03 03:32:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 300 AM GMT Sun Nov 03 2024 062 WTNT32 KNHC 030232 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Patty Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172024 300 AM GMT Sun Nov 03 2024 ...PATTY CONTINUING TO PASS NEAR THE AZORES... ...EXPECTED TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AZORES THROUGH THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.9N 27.8W ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM SSW OF LAJES IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * All of the Azores A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case through the weekend. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM GMT (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Patty was located near latitude 37.9 North, longitude 27.8 West. The storm is moving toward the east near 20 mph (31 km/h), and an eastward to east-northeastward motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Patty is expected to move near or just south of the Azores through the overnight period. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next few days. Patty is forecast to become a post-tropical low late this weekend or Monday. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) mainly to the southwest of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Azores through the weekend. For more information, see products issued by the meteorological service in the Azores. RAINFALL: RAINFALL: Patty is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches (25 to 50 millimeters) with local amounts to 4 inches (100 mm) across the Azores through early Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Patty will affect the Azores over the next day or two. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM GMT. Next complete advisory at 900 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Beven
Category: Transportation and Logistics
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