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Tropical Depression EIGHT Forecast Advisory Number 1
2016-08-28 16:43:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016 000 WTNT23 KNHC 281442 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016 1500 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PART OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 70.0W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 70.0W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 69.6W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 32.1N 71.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 32.9N 73.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 33.6N 74.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 34.2N 75.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 36.5N 73.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 39.0N 66.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 70.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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