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Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Forecast Discussion Number 5
2024-11-07 15:49:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 071449 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142024 900 AM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 The depression is once again struggling to produce deep organized convection. Thunderstorms from the diurnal maximum overnight have dissipated, and the low-level center is nearing an area of convection not associated with the depression. Furthermore, the outflow boundaries from the adjacent thunderstorms seem to be disrupting the low-level circulation. The TAFB Dvorak Final-T has also trended downward to T1.5, reflecting the decaying convective organization. The initial intensity is held at a possibly generous 25 kt for this advisory. Environmental conditions should remain marginal to hostile and prevent further strengthening. Global models continue to predict that the depression should open into a trough within a day, though it is possible this has already occurred. The latest official intensity forecast still shows dissipation occurring by Friday. The depression is moving at an uncertain 110/4 kt. The low-level flow is expected to turn the depression to the southeast soon. The NHC track position is near the corrected consensus aid, HCCA. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/1500Z 13.2N 104.4W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 08/0000Z 12.3N 103.7W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Tropical Depression Fourteen-E (EP4/EP142024)
2024-11-07 15:49:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION UNRAVELING... As of 9:00 AM CST Thu Nov 7 the center of Fourteen-E was located near 13.2, -104.4 with movement ESE at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Public Advisory Number 5
2024-11-07 15:49:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 071448 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142024 900 AM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 ...DEPRESSION UNRAVELING... SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.2N 104.4W ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 104.4 West. The depression is moving toward the east-southeast near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slightly faster southeastward motion is expected later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is forecast to dissipate on Friday, although that could occur sooner. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics