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Tropical Storm ERICK Forecast Advisory Number 3
2013-07-05 04:59:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUL 05 2013 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 050259 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 0300 UTC FRI JUL 05 2013 CORRECTED TO ADD 50 KT WIND RADII AT 24 HOURS CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO LA FORTUNA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS * WEST OF MANZANILLO TO LA FORTUNA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 100.0W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 100.0W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 99.6W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.8N 101.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.6N 102.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.4N 103.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.3N 105.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.9N 108.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 21.2N 112.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 22.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 100.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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