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Tropical Depression Emilia Graphics

2018-07-01 16:39:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 01 Jul 2018 14:39:01 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 01 Jul 2018 15:26:00 GMT

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Tropical Depression Emilia Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16

2018-07-01 16:36:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUL 01 2018 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 011436 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062018 1500 UTC SUN JUL 01 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 125W 34 6 6(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Summary for Tropical Depression Emilia (EP1/EP062018)

2018-07-01 16:36:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...EMILIA STILL A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 8:00 AM PDT Sun Jul 1 the center of Emilia was located near 19.3, -123.0 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

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Tropical Depression Emilia Public Advisory Number 16

2018-07-01 16:36:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Jul 01 2018 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 011436 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Emilia Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062018 800 AM PDT Sun Jul 01 2018 ...EMILIA STILL A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.3N 123.0W ABOUT 880 MI...1415 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Emilia was located near latitude 19.3 North, longitude 123.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the west is expected by Tuesday and the cyclone is forecast to continue westward until it dissipates. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Emilia is forecast to become a remnant low later today or tomorrow, and dissipate entirely by the middle of the week. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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