je.st
news
Tag: chantal
Tropical Storm CHANTAL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2013-07-09 17:03:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUL 09 2013 000 FONT13 KNHC 091503 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 1500 UTC TUE JUL 09 2013 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 1 10 18 15 16 23 TROP DEPRESSION 1 3 30 38 20 22 30 TROPICAL STORM 84 67 50 41 56 54 43 HURRICANE 15 29 11 4 9 8 4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 14 26 9 3 8 7 3 HUR CAT 2 1 3 2 X 1 1 1 HUR CAT 3 1 1 X X X X X HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55KT 60KT 35KT 35KT 45KT 45KT 40KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MAYPORT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 5(14) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 3(23) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 12(28) 2(30) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 9(23) 2(25) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) 4(32) X(32) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 3(30) 1(31) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 6(25) 1(26) X(26) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) GRAND TURK 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 5(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 2(13) X(13) 1(14) X(14) PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE BEATA 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 4( 4) 35(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 32(32) 41(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X 2( 2) 20(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PONCE 34 2 50(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) PONCE 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN JUAN 34 2 24(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) SAINT THOMAS 34 5 8(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAINT CROIX 34 17 10(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) SAINT MAARTEN 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARBUDA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANTIGUA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUADELOUPE 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) AVES 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) AVES 50 34 X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) AVES 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) DOMINICA 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) MARTINIQUE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MARTINIQUE 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Summary for Tropical Storm CHANTAL (AT3/AL032013)
2013-07-09 17:03:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CHANTAL MOVING BETWEEN MARTINIQUE AND ST. LUCIA... As of 11:00 AM AST Tue Jul 9 the center of CHANTAL was located near 14.4, -61.5 with movement WNW at 29 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
tropical storm
Tropical Storm CHANTAL Public Advisory Number 7
2013-07-09 17:03:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST TUE JUL 09 2013 000 WTNT33 KNHC 091503 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 1100 AM AST TUE JUL 09 2013 ...CHANTAL MOVING BETWEEN MARTINIQUE AND ST. LUCIA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.4N 61.5W ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM NW OF ST. LUCIA ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND WATCH FOR BARBADOS AND ST. VINCENT. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM BARAHONA TO SAMANA AND ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARAHONA TO SAMANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICA * ST. LUCIA * MARTINIQUE * GUADELOUPE * PUERTO RICO * ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS EASTWARD A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * TURKS AND CAICOS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE... BARBADOS AND MARTINIQUE RADAR INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST. CHANTAL IS MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 29 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H. WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE BEFORE CHANTAL MOVES OVER HISPANIOLA. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. TRINITY CARABELLE IN THE NORTHEAST TIP OF MARTINIQUE RECENTLY REPORTED WINDS OF NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND REACH PUERTO RICO TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN HAITI BY LATE WEDNESDAY. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... WINDWARD ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO. A STORM SURGE WILL ALSO RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE ENTIRE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES. RAINFALL...CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS. 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm CHANTAL Forecast Advisory Number 7
2013-07-09 16:59:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUL 09 2013 000 WTNT23 KNHC 091459 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 1500 UTC TUE JUL 09 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND WATCH FOR BARBADOS AND ST. VINCENT. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM BARAHONA TO SAMANA AND ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATTCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARAHONA TO SAMANA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICA * ST. LUCIA * MARTINIQUE * GUADELOUPE * PUERTO RICO * ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS EASTWARD A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * TURKS AND CAICOS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 61.5W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 25 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 61.5W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 60.3W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.8N 65.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.4N 68.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.3N 71.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.3N 73.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 24.5N 76.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 26.5N 77.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 27.5N 78.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 61.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm CHANTAL (AT3/AL032013)
2013-07-09 14:06:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CHANTAL OBSERVED BY BARBADOS AND MARTINIQUE RADARS... As of 8:00 AM AST Tue Jul 9 the center of CHANTAL was located near 13.8, -59.7 with movement WNW at 26 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1010 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
tropical storm
Sites : [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] next »