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Tropical Storm FAUSTO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2014-07-08 00:19:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2230 UTC MON JUL 07 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 072219 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062014 2230 UTC MON JUL 07 2014 AT 2230Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Summary for Tropical Storm FAUSTO (EP1/EP062014)
2014-07-08 00:19:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...SIXTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON DEVELOPS... ...NO THREAT TO LAND... As of 3:30 PM PDT Mon Jul 7 the center of FAUSTO was located near 9.5, -120.1 with movement W at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm FAUSTO Public Advisory Number 1
2014-07-08 00:19:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 330 PM PDT MON JUL 07 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 072219 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062014 330 PM PDT MON JUL 07 2014 ...SIXTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON DEVELOPS... ...NO THREAT TO LAND... SUMMARY OF 330 PM PDT...2230 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...9.5N 120.1W ABOUT 1145 MI...1840 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 330 PM PDT...2230 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.1 WEST. FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO THROUGH TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM... MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm FAUSTO Forecast Advisory Number 1
2014-07-08 00:16:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2230 UTC MON JUL 07 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 072216 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062014 2230 UTC MON JUL 07 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 120.1W AT 07/2230Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 120.1W AT 07/2230Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 119.3W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 9.7N 121.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 10.0N 124.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 10.7N 127.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 11.5N 130.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 12.6N 136.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 14.7N 140.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 16.0N 146.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.5N 120.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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