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Tropical Depression FAUSTO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2014-07-09 10:40:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 09 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 090840 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAUSTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062014 0900 UTC WED JUL 09 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAUSTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Summary for Tropical Depression FAUSTO (EP1/EP062014)
2014-07-09 10:40:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...FAUSTO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 2:00 AM PDT Wed Jul 9 the center of FAUSTO was located near 11.4, -128.0 with movement WNW at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression FAUSTO Public Advisory Number 7
2014-07-09 10:40:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT WED JUL 09 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 090840 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062014 200 AM PDT WED JUL 09 2014 ...FAUSTO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.4N 128.0W ABOUT 1430 MI...2305 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAUSTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND FAUSTO IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A DAY OR TWO. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Depression FAUSTO Forecast Advisory Number 7
2014-07-09 10:39:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 09 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 090839 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062014 0900 UTC WED JUL 09 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 128.0W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 128.0W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 127.2W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 11.9N 130.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 12.5N 134.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 13.0N 137.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 13.5N 140.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.5N 145.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 128.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Storm FAUSTO Graphics
2014-07-09 05:08:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 09 Jul 2014 02:44:57 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 09 Jul 2014 03:04:45 GMT
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