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Summary for Tropical Depression Twenty-E (EP5/EP202019)
2019-11-15 03:32:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO... As of 8:00 PM MST Thu Nov 14 the center of Twenty-E was located near 13.0, -108.4 with movement NNW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Twenty-E Public Advisory Number 1
2019-11-15 03:32:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM MST Thu Nov 14 2019 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 150232 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202019 800 PM MST Thu Nov 14 2019 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.0N 108.4W ABOUT 690 MI...1110 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-E was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 108.4 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. A turn to the north-northeast is expected to occur by Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and the depression could become a tropical storm on Friday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Depression Twenty-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2019-11-15 03:32:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI NOV 15 2019 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 150232 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 0300 UTC FRI NOV 15 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 108.4W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 108.4W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 108.3W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 13.6N 108.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.7N 109.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.0N 110.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.4N 110.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.1N 109.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 23.2N 109.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 108.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Depression Seventeen Graphics
2019-10-25 16:32:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 25 Oct 2019 14:32:43 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 25 Oct 2019 14:32:31 GMT
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Tropical Depression Seventeen Forecast Discussion Number 1
2019-10-25 16:32:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019 000 WTNT42 KNHC 251432 TCDAT2 Tropical Depression Seventeen Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172019 1000 AM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019 Satellite imagery indicates that the low pressure system in the western Gulf of Mexico has developed a well-defined circulation. In addition, a cluster of strong convection is located near and to the northeast of the low-level center. Thus, advisories are being initiated on Tropical Depression Seventeen. The initial intensity is set at 30 kt, and it is possible based on last night's scatterometer data that this is conservative. A deep-layer baroclinic trough over the southern Plains states should steer the cyclone north-northeastward with an increase in forward speed during the next couple of days, with the center crossing the northern Gulf coast tonight or Saturday morning. The track guidance is in good agreement, and the forecast track lies close to the various consensus models. A surface cold front associated with the baroclinic trough is quickly approaching the center of the depression, and the tropical cyclone is expected to merge with the front during the next 12 h. Based on this, the cyclone is expected to become a gale-force post-tropical low before it reaches the northern Gulf coast. The low should weaken after landfall, with dissipation expected just after 48 h. There is a chance that the system could briefly become a tropical storm this afternoon before it merges with the cold front. However, even if this occurs it will make little difference to the impacts on the northern Gulf coast. Key messages: 1. Since depression is expected to merge with a cold front and become post-tropical by tonight, hazards related to wind, rainfall and coastal flooding will be covered by products issued by local National Weather Service forecast offices, available at weather.gov FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/1500Z 25.6N 94.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 26/0000Z 28.2N 93.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 26/1200Z 32.6N 91.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 27/0000Z 38.1N 89.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 27/1200Z 43.2N 85.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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