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Tropical Depression Mario Forecast Advisory Number 24
2019-09-23 10:19:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 23 2019 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 230819 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142019 0900 UTC MON SEP 23 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 113.5W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 113.5W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 113.3W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.5N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 26.5N 114.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 113.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Summary for Tropical Depression Mario (EP4/EP142019)
2019-09-23 10:17:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...MARIO FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... As of 3:00 AM MDT Mon Sep 23 the center of Mario was located near 24.3, -113.5 with movement NNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Tropical Depression Mario Public Advisory Number 24
2019-09-23 10:17:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Mon Sep 23 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 230817 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Mario Advisory Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142019 300 AM MDT Mon Sep 23 2019 ...MARIO FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.3N 113.5W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM WSW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Mario was located near latitude 24.3 North, longitude 113.5 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion should continue through today, before dissipating near the west coast of the central Baja California peninsula on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Mario should gradually weaken and is expected to become a remnant low this morning before dissipating on Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Depression Thirteen Graphics
2019-09-23 04:45:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 23 Sep 2019 02:45:44 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 23 Sep 2019 02:45:44 GMT
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Tropical Depression Thirteen Forecast Discussion Number 1
2019-09-23 04:44:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTNT43 KNHC 230244 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Thirteen Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132019 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 22 2019 Satellite imagery and partial scatterometer overpasses indicate that the tropical wave in the eastern tropical Atlantic has developed enough circulation and organized convection to be designated a tropical depression. The convection is currently organized into a large band over the western semicircle, with an additional smaller band to the southeast. The initial intensity is set at 30 kt in best agreement with a satellite intensity estimate from TAFB. The initial motion is 270/14. A strong deep-layer ridge to the north of the depression should steer it generally westward to west-northwestward for the next 3-4 days, with the center passing well to the south and southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Near the end of the forecast period, the cyclone is expected to turn northwestward as it approaches a weakness in the ridge. The track guidance is tightly clustered, and the forecast track is in best agreement with the HCCA corrected consensus model. The cyclone is forecast to be in a light to moderate easterly shear environment over warm sea surface temperatures for the next 3-4 days, and there are no obvious negative factors to prevent strengthening. The intensity forecast thus calls for steady intensification through 96 h, with the intensity forecast lying near the upper edge of the guidance from 48-96 h. Some southwesterly shear may develop near 120 h, so the forecast show little change in strength from 96-120 h. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/0300Z 10.8N 20.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 23/1200Z 10.8N 23.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 24/0000Z 11.1N 25.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 24/1200Z 11.8N 28.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 25/0000Z 12.6N 31.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 26/0000Z 13.8N 36.7W 80 KT 90 MPH 96H 27/0000Z 15.5N 41.5W 95 KT 110 MPH 120H 28/0000Z 19.0N 45.5W 95 KT 110 MPH $$ Forecaster Beven
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