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Tropical Depression Mario Graphics
2019-09-22 17:45:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 15:45:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 15:45:18 GMT
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Tropical Depression Mario Forecast Discussion Number 21
2019-09-22 16:44:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 221444 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Mario Discussion Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142019 900 AM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019 After being devoid of deep convection since yesterday, a couple of thunderstorms have formed just to the southwest of the cyclone's center. Although this barely qualifies the system to retain tropical cyclone status, advisories are being continued for the time being. However, Mario should degenerate into a remnant low in 12 hours or so. The weakening low is expected to turn northward and move over the Baja California peninsula on Tuesday, and dissipate later that day. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/1500Z 22.0N 111.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 23/0000Z 23.3N 112.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 23/1200Z 24.8N 113.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 24/0000Z 26.3N 114.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 24/1200Z 27.9N 113.6W 15 KT 15 MPH...INLAND 72H 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Summary for Tropical Depression Mario (EP4/EP142019)
2019-09-22 16:44:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...MARIO LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT... As of 9:00 AM MDT Sun Sep 22 the center of Mario was located near 22.0, -111.9 with movement NNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Mario Public Advisory Number 21
2019-09-22 16:44:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 221444 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Mario Advisory Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142019 900 AM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019 ...MARIO LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.0N 111.9W ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Mario was located near latitude 22.0 North, longitude 111.9 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and a turn toward the north is expected over the next day or two. On the forecast track, the center will move inland over the central Baja California peninsula on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Mario should degenerate into a remnant low later today or tonight. The low is expected to dissipate by late Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Depression Mario Forecast Advisory Number 21
2019-09-22 16:44:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 221444 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142019 1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 111.9W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 111.9W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 111.6W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.3N 112.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.8N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.3N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 27.9N 113.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 111.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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