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Tropical Depression Six Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2019-08-27 22:34:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 27 2019 000 FONT11 KNHC 272034 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062019 2100 UTC TUE AUG 27 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Depression Six Forecast Advisory Number 5
2019-08-27 22:33:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 27 2019 000 WTNT21 KNHC 272033 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062019 2100 UTC TUE AUG 27 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 71.8W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 344 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 71.8W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 71.7W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 32.7N 72.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 35.0N 72.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 38.0N 70.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 41.5N 67.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 71.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Summary for Tropical Depression Six (AT1/AL062019)
2019-08-27 22:33:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC... As of 5:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 27 the center of Six was located near 31.8, -71.8 with movement NNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Six Public Advisory Number 5
2019-08-27 22:33:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT Tue Aug 27 2019 000 WTNT31 KNHC 272033 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Six Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062019 500 PM EDT Tue Aug 27 2019 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.8N 71.8W ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM W OF BERMUDA ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 344 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six was located near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 71.8 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), but the cyclone should begin to move generally northward and then northeastward on Wednesday with an increase in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The cyclone is forecast to become a tropical storm on Wednesday, but it should begin to acquire extratropical characteristics and weaken on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Tropical Depression Six Graphics
2019-08-27 10:45:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 27 Aug 2019 08:45:22 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 27 Aug 2019 09:31:48 GMT
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